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PDHA vs Alba

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2023/2024
1 - 2
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Scotto S.
54' Event
Own Goal
90' Event
Papa M.

AI Match Summary

Alba in this Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
PDHA
15%
Draws
85%
Alba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Alba lately — more wins on the board than PDHA.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Alba taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
PDHA Clean Sheet 16%
Alba Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PDHA Alba
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 8
Draws 5 5
Losses 21 17
Goals Scored 0.63 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2024 Serie D - Group A
PDHA vs Alba
1:2
Dec 10, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Alba vs PDHA
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PDHA Compare

Top Goalscorer Papa M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Alba Compare

Top Goalscorer Scotto S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PDHA 11 / 100
Alba 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PDHA Alba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

PDHA found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Alba lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

PDHA VS Alba
0.88 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

PDHA

(Home)
05 May
PDHA
1 : 3
Sanremese
28 Apr
AC Chieri
5 : 2
PDHA
21 Apr
PDHA
1 : 2
Alba
14 Apr
Fezzanese
1 : 0
PDHA
07 Apr
PDHA
1 : 2
Ligorna
Page 1 of 6

Alba

(Away)
12 May
Derthona FbC
3 : 0
Alba
05 May
Pinerolo
0 : 2
Alba
28 Apr
Alba
0 : 1
Derthona FbC
21 Apr
PDHA
1 : 2
Alba
14 Apr
Alba
3 : 3
AC Chieri
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alcione Milano 38 23 10 5 70:27 79
2 Chisola 38 21 9 8 64:37 72
3 Varese FC 38 18 12 8 49:33 66
4 Vado 38 17 14 7 51:28 65
5 NovaRomentin 38 18 11 9 58:38 65
6 Bra 38 18 11 9 47:30 65
7 Ligorna 38 17 12 9 44:37 63
8 Asti Calcio 38 16 11 11 42:33 59
9 Albenga 38 15 15 8 51:33 58
10 Sanremese 38 13 13 12 34:33 52
11 Fezzanese 38 14 9 15 42:50 51
12 Gozzano 38 10 15 13 35:38 45
13 Lavagnese 38 11 11 16 46:47 44
14 Vogherese 38 10 12 16 42:57 42
15 Derthona FbC 38 9 14 15 34:52 41
16 AC Chieri 38 8 15 15 39:52 39
17 Pinerolo 38 8 13 17 25:44 37
18 Alba 38 10 7 21 39:63 37
19 PDHA 38 5 7 26 25:63 22
20 Borgosesia Calcio 38 5 7 26 25:67 22
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Out)