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PDHA vs Ligorna

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Nacci F.
53' Event
Rimondo T.
60' Event
Miracoli L.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 game between PDHA and Ligorna finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ligorna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
PDHA
15%
Draws
85%
Ligorna
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ligorna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Ligorna carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Ligorna's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
PDHA Clean Sheet 19%
Ligorna Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PDHA Ligorna
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 18
Draws 5 8
Losses 21 5
Goals Scored 0.63 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.67 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2024 Serie D - Group A
PDHA vs Ligorna
1:2
Nov 26, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Ligorna vs PDHA
1:1
Feb 5, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Ligorna vs PDHA
0:0
Oct 2, 2022 Serie D - Group A
PDHA vs Ligorna
1:1
May 8, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Ligorna vs PDHA
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PDHA Compare

Top Goalscorer Nacci F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Ligorna Compare

Top Goalscorer Rimondo T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PDHA 10 / 100
Ligorna 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PDHA Ligorna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ligorna Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ligorna let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Attacking prowess: PDHA scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Ligorna has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ligorna
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

PDHA

(Home)
05 May
PDHA
1 : 3
Sanremese
28 Apr
AC Chieri
5 : 2
PDHA
21 Apr
PDHA
1 : 2
Alba
14 Apr
Fezzanese
1 : 0
PDHA
07 Apr
PDHA
1 : 2
Ligorna
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Ligorna

(Away)
16 Sept
Ligorna
2 : 3
Derthona FbC
13 Sept
AS Biellese
3 : 1
Ligorna
06 Sept
Ligorna
2 : 2
Sanremese
17 May
Ligorna
5 : 3
Varese FC
10 May
Ligorna
1 : 0
Chisola
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alcione Milano 38 23 10 5 70:27 79
2 Chisola 38 21 9 8 64:37 72
3 Varese FC 38 18 12 8 49:33 66
4 Vado 38 17 14 7 51:28 65
5 NovaRomentin 38 18 11 9 58:38 65
6 Bra 38 18 11 9 47:30 65
7 Ligorna 38 17 12 9 44:37 63
8 Asti Calcio 38 16 11 11 42:33 59
9 Albenga 38 15 15 8 51:33 58
10 Sanremese 38 13 13 12 34:33 52
11 Fezzanese 38 14 9 15 42:50 51
12 Gozzano 38 10 15 13 35:38 45
13 Lavagnese 38 11 11 16 46:47 44
14 Vogherese 38 10 12 16 42:57 42
15 Derthona FbC 38 9 14 15 34:52 41
16 AC Chieri 38 8 15 15 39:52 39
17 Pinerolo 38 8 13 17 25:44 37
18 Alba 38 10 7 21 39:63 37
19 PDHA 38 5 7 26 25:63 22
20 Borgosesia Calcio 38 5 7 26 25:67 22
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Out)