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PE Sant Jordi vs Constancia Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Giaquinto A.
59' Event
Rosillo I.
(Penalty)
70' Event
Giaquinto A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025 game between PE Sant Jordi and Constancia finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Constancia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
PE Sant Jordi
30%
Draws
39%
Constancia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Constancia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Constancia come out ahead of PE Sant Jordi on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Constancia's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
PE Sant Jordi Clean Sheet 11%
Constancia Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PE Sant Jordi Constancia
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 9 23
Draws 8 6
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.1 1.94
Goals Conceded 1.47 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 0.96 1.77
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
PE Sant Jordi vs Constancia
1:2
Jan 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Constancia vs PE Sant Jordi
1:0
Feb 4, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Constancia vs PE Sant Jordi
2:0
Oct 1, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
PE Sant Jordi vs Constancia
2:2
Jan 30, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Constancia vs PE Sant Jordi
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PE Sant Jordi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.48

Constancia Compare

Top Goalscorer Giaquinto A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.61
Avg xA / game 0.98

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PE Sant Jordi 22 / 100
Constancia 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PE Sant Jordi Constancia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Constancia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: PE Sant Jordi scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: PE Sant Jordi stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Constancia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 51% of 35 matches.

Scoring Trends

PE Sant Jordi VS Constancia
1.17 Goals Scored 2.38
1.17 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

PE Sant Jordi

(Home)
04 Oct
PE Sant Jordi
0 : 0
Inter Ibiza
27 Sept
Formentera
3 : 0
PE Sant Jordi
20 Sept
PE Sant Jordi
2 : 2
Andratx
12 Sept
Sineu
2 : 4
PE Sant Jordi
06 Sept
PE Sant Jordi
1 : 0
Migjorn
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Constancia

(Away)
03 Oct
Mercadal
1 : 3
Constancia
26 Sept
Constancia
2 : 0
Alcudia
20 Sept
Cardassar
1 : 0
Constancia
13 Sept
Santanyi
1 : 1
Constancia
05 Sept
Constancia
3 : 0
Arenal
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Poblense 34 22 6 6 47:17 72
2 Constancia 34 18 13 3 55:31 67
3 Formentera 34 19 9 6 68:34 66
4 Porreres 34 17 11 6 51:32 62
5 Penya Independent 34 17 7 10 59:34 58
6 Platges de Calvia 34 14 12 8 51:37 54
7 Manacor 34 13 12 9 54:36 51
8 Alcudia 34 13 8 13 51:53 47
9 Binissalem 34 13 8 13 35:34 47
10 Llosetense 34 12 8 14 47:45 44
11 Santanyi 34 10 13 11 40:45 43
12 Mercadal 34 10 10 14 40:43 40
13 Felanitx 34 10 10 14 33:50 40
14 Collerense 34 9 12 13 42:48 39
15 Portmany 34 8 13 13 43:51 37
16 PE Sant Jordi 34 8 6 20 30:52 30
17 Campos 34 4 8 22 31:75 20
18 Migjorn 34 4 4 26 22:82 16
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025 (Play Offs)