Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pelikan vs Otwock

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group VI
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pelikan in this III Liga - Group VI matchup, with the score ending 8-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pelikan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Pelikan
6%
Draws
4%
Otwock
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pelikan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pelikan lately — more wins on the board than Otwock.
  • Pelikan are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group VI form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Pelikan Clean Sheet 20%
Otwock Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pelikan Otwock
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 12 4
Draws 10 3
Losses 14 23
Goals Scored 0.63 0
Goals Conceded 1.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2016 III Liga - Group VI
Pelikan vs Otwock
8:0
Oct 3, 2015 III Liga - Group VI
Otwock vs Pelikan
2:3
May 7, 2011 Division 2 - East
Otwock vs Pelikan
1:1
Sep 26, 2010 Division 2 - East
Pelikan vs Otwock
3:3
May 26, 2010 Division 2 - East
Pelikan vs Otwock
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pelikan 85 / 100
Otwock 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pelikan Otwock

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Otwock conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Pelikan scored in 72% of their last 36 outings.

Pelikan went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pelikan VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pelikan

(Home)
25 Jul
Pelikan
1 : 3
Kutno
25 Jul
Pelikan
1 : 0
Mszczonowianka Mszczonow
22 Jul
Plock II
3 : 2
Pelikan
18 Jul
Pelikan
2 : 2
MKS Piaseczno
15 Jul
Pelikan
2 : 1
Swit Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 8

Otwock

(Away)
04 Jun
Swit Mazowiecki
5 : 0
Otwock
01 Jun
Otwock
0 : 0
Ner Poddebice
28 May
Polonia Warszawa
5 : 1
Otwock
22 May
Otwock
0 : 6
Ursus Warszawa
18 May
Warta Dzialoszyn
2 : 0
Otwock
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Polonia Warszawa34215862:2568
2Ursus Warszawa34198756:2665
3Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz341811553:2465
4Tomaszow Mazowiecki34198779:3765
5Legia II34198766:3865
6LKS Lodz34197871:3764
7Pelikan341810658:2964
8Swit Mazowiecki341712561:2763
9Blekitni Raciaz341581156:5253
10Warta Sieradz341271543:4643
11Bron Radom349101551:7037
12Warta Dzialoszyn341051933:8235
13Pilica Bialobrzegi341042048:6034
14Oskar Przysucha34781942:7829
15Energia Kozienice34691941:6427
16Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki34691936:6027
17Otwock34642424:8622
18Ner Poddebice34492131:7021
Promotion - III Liga - Group I 2015/2016 (Play Offs)