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Stadium Background

Pelister vs Shkupi

North Macedonia North Macedonia

1. MFL 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Srbijanac M.
25' Event
Petrovic F.
27'
Ristov M.

AI Match Summary

The 1. MFL 2025/2026 game between Pelister and Shkupi finished 7-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pelister.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Pelister
15%
Draws
0%
Shkupi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pelister

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Shkupi haven't matched Pelister's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Pelister's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Pelister have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Pelister Clean Sheet 20%
Shkupi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pelister Shkupi
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 0
Draws 8 1
Losses 9 29
Goals Scored 1.53 0.27
Goals Conceded 1.07 4.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 2. MFL
Shkupi vs Pelister
0:4
May 9, 2026 1. MFL
Pelister vs Shkupi
7:0
Nov 25, 2025 1. MFL
Shkupi vs Pelister
0:3
Aug 25, 2025 1. MFL
Pelister vs Shkupi
2:0
Mar 15, 2025 1. MFL
Shkupi vs Pelister
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pelister Compare

Top Goalscorer Petrovic F.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Petkovski P.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Shkupi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pelister 85 / 100
Shkupi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pelister Shkupi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pelister Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shkupi let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Pelister went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Shkupi has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pelister VS Shkupi
0.75 Goals Scored 0.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 3.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Pelister

(Home)
19 Sept
Pelister
1 : 0
Ohrid
13 Sept
Shkupi
0 : 4
Pelister
06 Sept
Pelister
2 : 0
Rabotnicki
02 Sept
Studenicani
1 : 6
Pelister
29 Aug
Makedonija GP
0 : 1
Pelister
Page 1 of 6

Shkupi

(Away)
20 Sept
Brera Strumica
7 : 0
Shkupi
13 Sept
Shkupi
0 : 4
Pelister
09 Sept
Kamenica Sasa
1 : 0
Shkupi
05 Sept
Gorno Lisice
4 : 0
Shkupi
30 Aug
Shkupi
1 : 3
Teteks
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vardar 33 26 5 2 80:21 83
2 Shkendija Tetovo 33 23 5 5 67:30 74
3 Struga 33 19 5 9 68:28 62
4 Sileks 33 16 5 12 59:36 53
5 Tikves 33 14 6 13 59:47 48
6 Arsimi 33 13 7 13 50:53 46
7 Bashkimi 33 11 9 13 40:54 42
8 Pelister 33 10 10 13 41:42 40
9 Brera Strumica 33 10 10 13 46:56 40
10 Makedonija GP 33 9 7 17 42:57 34
11 Rabotnicki 33 9 6 18 45:58 33
12 Shkupi 33 0 1 32 15:130 1
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. MFL 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL (Main)