Sport Picks

Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 4

Panegialios FC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Pelopas Kiatou play Panegialios FC in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 4. It looks like a close match. Recently, Pelopas Kiatou averaged 0.76 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. Panegialios FC averaged 1.63 goals scored and 0.6 conceded. In past meetings, Pelopas Kiatou won 0, Panegialios FC won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 5, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.56 for Pelopas Kiatou and 1.94 for Panegialios FC. This points to a Panegialios FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%

Pelopas Kiatou

23%

Draws

53%

Panegialios FC

Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Panegialios FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence

Pelopas Kiatou picked up more points recently compared to Panegialios FC.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.56 vs 1.94 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%

Over 1.5 Goals 61%

Over 2.5 Goals 39%

Over 3.5 Goals 23%

Over 4.5 Goals 12%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27%

Pelopas Kiatou Clean Sheet 10%

Panegialios FC Clean Sheet 22%

First Half Goal 55%

Second Half Goal 58%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Pelopas Kiatou	Panegialios FC
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	9	19
Draws	4	7
Losses	16	4
Goals Scored	0.76	1.63
Goals Conceded	1.52	0.6
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4

Pelopas Kiatou vs Panegialios FC

Possession: 54% - 48% Cards: 3 - 0

0:0

Jan 11, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4

Panegialios FC vs Pelopas Kiatou

Possession: 42% - 59% Cards: 2 - 3

1:0

Oct 12, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4

Pelopas Kiatou vs Panegialios FC

Possession: 42% - 40% Cards: 2 - 4

0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pelopas Kiatou 24 / 100

Panegialios FC 52 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Pelopas Kiatou Panegialios FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Panegialios FC Win (2)

Secondary Pick Panegialios FC & Under 3.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +50%

6.25

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +18.2%

3.03

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Pelopas Kiatou attacking → ← attacking Panegialios FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pelopas Kiatou scored in 41% of their last 29 games.

Panegialios FC let in goals in 43% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Pelopas Kiatou went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Panegialios FC lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 64

0.88 Goals expected (xG) 2.38

1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Pyrgos	27	21	3	3	57:12	66
2	Zakynthos	27	19	5	3	58:15	62
3	Panegialios FC	27	18	7	2	46:15	61
4	Korinthos	27	10	9	8	41:39	39
5	Miltiadis	27	9	7	11	34:36	34
6	Pelopas Kiatou	27	9	4	14	22:41	31