Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pempininkai vs FK Minija

Lithuania Lithuania

Lithuanian Cup Gargzdai stadium, Gargzdai
Tue, May 19, 2026
1 - 4
05:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Gedmintas L.
58'
Sub
Gailiusis D. In: Simkus N.
Out: Gailiusis D.
66'
Sub
Lee Min-Woo In: Kasparavicius J.
Out: Lee Min-Woo

AI Match Summary

FK Minija in this Lithuanian Cup tie, finishing 1-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Pempininkai
6%
Draws
90%
FK Minija
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FK Minija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FK Minija lately — more wins on the board than Pempininkai.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on FK Minija taking it.
  • FK Minija arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor FK Minija, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Pempininkai Clean Sheet 10%
FK Minija Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pempininkai FK Minija
Matches Played 3 30
Wins 1 21
Draws 0 3
Losses 2 6
Goals Scored 1.5 3.5
Goals Conceded 2.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 3.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2026 Lithuanian Cup
Pempininkai vs FK Minija
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pempininkai Compare

Top Goalscorer Marcinkevicius A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

FK Minija Compare

Top Goalscorer Oikawa K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pipiras D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.18
Avg xA / game 1.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pempininkai 10 / 100
FK Minija 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pempininkai FK Minija

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FKM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:4
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pempininkai scored in 100% of their last 3 games.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

FK Minija has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Pempininkai has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pempininkai VS FK Minija
1.5 Goals Scored 3.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Pempininkai

(Home)
19 May
Pempininkai
1 : 4
FK Minija
21 Apr
Pempininkai
2 : 1
Sirijus
29 Apr
AFK Vilnius
4 : 2
Pempininkai

FK Minija

(Away)
18 Jul
FK Minija
2 : 1
Jonava
26 Jun
Garliava
0 : 1
FK Minija
23 Jun
FK Minija
2 : 1
FK Panevezys
20 Jun
FK Atmosfera
0 : 1
FK Minija
13 Jun
FK Minija
3 : 0
BFA Vilnius
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Pempininkai2
Sirijus1
FK Minija3
Suduva2
FK Atmosfera2
Zalgiris1
SSPC FSK Radviliskis0
FK Panevezys2
Klaipedos FM1
BE1 NFA0
Viltis Vilnius1
Dainava Alytus7
Kursenai1
Transinvest10
Tauras Taurage1
FC Hegelmann4
Ataka Vilnius4
FK Sirvena Birzai0
Jonava0
FA Siauliai4
Neptunas0
Dziugas Telsiai2
Vilniaus Vytis0
Banga4
BFA Vilnius1
FK Babrungas0
AFK Vilnius0
Garliava3
Vilnius FA0
Riteriai1
FK Sveikata Kybartai0
FK Kauno Zalgiris3
1/8-finals
Pempininkai1
FK Minija4
FK Atmosfera0
FK Panevezys3
Klaipedos FM0
Dainava Alytus2
Transinvest2
FC Hegelmann0
Ataka Vilnius1
FA Siauliai2
Dziugas Telsiai1
Banga0
BFA Vilnius2
Garliava1
Riteriai0
FK Kauno Zalgiris4
Quarter-finals
FK Minija2
FK Panevezys1
Dainava Alytus2
Transinvest1
FA Siauliai2
Dziugas Telsiai1
BFA Vilnius0
FK Kauno Zalgiris3
Semi-finals
FK Minija-
Dainava Alytus-
FA Siauliai-
FK Kauno Zalgiris-
Final
TBD-
TBD-