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Pena vs Pena Azagresa

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 15 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pena play Pena Azagresa in the Tercera Division - Group 15 2020/2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Pena averaged 1.82 goals scored and 1.09 conceded. Pena Azagresa averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. In past meetings, Pena won 3, Pena Azagresa won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 14, 2021 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.60 for Pena and 1.44 for Pena Azagresa. This points to a Pena double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
Pena
15%
Draws
30%
Pena Azagresa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Pena picked up more points recently compared to Pena Azagresa.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.60 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
Pena Clean Sheet 16%
Pena Azagresa Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pena Pena Azagresa
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 24 11
Draws 5 5
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 1.82 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.7

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pena vs Pena Azagresa
1:0
Dec 13, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pena Azagresa vs Pena
0:2
Feb 22, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pena vs Pena Azagresa
3:0
Sep 29, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pena Azagresa vs Pena
2:1
Apr 18, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pena Azagresa vs Pena
4:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pena 53 / 100
Pena Azagresa 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pena Pena Azagresa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Pena & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.1%
2.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Pena attacking → ← attacking Pena Azagresa

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pena scored in 94% of their last 34 games.

Pena Azagresa let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Pena went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Pena Azagresa lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

77 Points in last 5 38
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1AD San Juan2098321:935
2Beti Kozkor2096523:1833
3Valle Egues2095631:2332
4Huarte2079429:2330
5Pamplona2086628:1830
6Burlades2075822:3026
7CD Beti Onak2059626:2524
8CD Corellano2066824:2924
9Txantrea2058723:2923
10Subiza2049725:2821
11CD River Ega20351223:4314
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Pena20145132:1447
2Cirbonero2088435:2132
3CD Ardoi2088426:1532
4CD Cantolagua2087528:1931
5Cortes2077618:2128
6Murchante2059619:1924
7Pena Azagresa20731024:3324
8CD Baztan2048819:2720
9CD Fontellas20621218:3720
10CD Lourdes2047918:2619
11Bidezarra20541118:2319