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Pena vs Rotxapea

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Valerio A.
46' Event
Santano A.
53' Event
Agirre A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025 game between Pena and Rotxapea finished 6-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Pena
35%
Draws
20%
Rotxapea
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pena come out ahead of Rotxapea on wins alone.
  • Pena are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41.6%
Pena Clean Sheet 68%
Rotxapea Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pena Rotxapea
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 4
Draws 7 7
Losses 4 19
Goals Scored 1.9 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pena vs Rotxapea
6:2
Sep 29, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Rotxapea vs Pena
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pena Compare

Top Goalscorer Valerio A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Agirre A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Rotxapea Compare

Top Goalscorer Santano A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hernandez I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pena 86 / 100
Rotxapea 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pena Rotxapea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pena found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (30 games).

Rotxapea has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Pena has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pena VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pena

(Home)
18 Aug
Mutilvera
1 : 1
Pena
11 Aug
AD San Juan
1 : 1
Pena
09 May
CA Artajones
1 : 2
Pena
03 May
Pena
2 : 1
Subiza
24 Apr
AD San Juan
1 : 1
Pena
Page 1 of 6

Rotxapea

(Away)
10 May
Rotxapea
2 : 4
CD Ardoi
03 May
CD Beti Onak
2 : 1
Rotxapea
27 Apr
Rotxapea
3 : 0
CD Gares
16 Apr
Pamplona
2 : 2
Rotxapea
12 Apr
Rotxapea
1 : 4
Cirbonero
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mutilvera 34 23 7 4 61:22 76
2 Valle Egues 34 23 6 5 63:21 75
3 AD San Juan 34 18 10 6 56:26 64
4 Cortes 34 18 8 8 48:28 62
5 Pena 34 15 13 6 55:28 58
6 Txantrea 34 16 9 9 58:49 57
7 Huarte 34 16 9 9 54:39 57
8 CD Ardoi 34 16 7 11 41:30 55
9 Pamplona 34 13 11 10 45:43 50
10 Cirbonero 34 11 12 11 46:39 45
11 Bidezarra 34 10 14 10 39:41 44
12 Beti Kozkor 34 9 10 15 38:48 37
13 CA Artajones 34 7 12 15 36:57 33
14 CD Beti Onak 34 9 6 19 32:50 33
15 Burlades 34 6 8 20 47:73 26
16 Rotxapea 34 5 8 21 39:83 23
17 CD Gares 34 5 7 22 25:63 22
18 CD Cantolagua 34 3 9 22 32:75 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025 (Play Offs)