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Pena vs Txantrea

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Izura E.
(Penalty)
25'
Salvatierra M.
26' Event
Rodriguez I.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 game between Pena and Txantrea finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Pena
30%
Draws
28%
Txantrea
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pena come out ahead of Txantrea on wins alone.
  • Pena are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Pena Clean Sheet 20%
Txantrea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pena Txantrea
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 18 10
Draws 7 7
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 1.76 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pena vs Txantrea
2:0
Sep 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Txantrea vs Pena
1:2
Mar 29, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pena vs Txantrea
2:2
Nov 16, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Txantrea vs Pena
3:1
May 5, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Txantrea vs Pena
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pena 58 / 100
Txantrea 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pena Txantrea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pena found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Txantrea conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Pena stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Pena VS Txantrea
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pena

(Home)
18 Aug
Mutilvera
1 : 1
Pena
11 Aug
AD San Juan
1 : 1
Pena
09 May
CA Artajones
1 : 2
Pena
03 May
Pena
2 : 1
Subiza
24 Apr
AD San Juan
1 : 1
Pena
Page 1 of 6

Txantrea

(Away)
09 May
Txantrea
3 : 1
Cortes
03 May
Oberena
2 : 1
Txantrea
25 Apr
Txantrea
1 : 2
Izarra
18 Apr
Bidezarra
4 : 2
Txantrea
11 Apr
Txantrea
2 : 0
Aoiz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pena 34 24 5 5 65:39 77
2 Pamplona 34 22 8 4 65:28 74
3 Izarra 34 16 13 5 64:31 61
4 Subiza 34 15 9 10 46:31 54
5 AD San Juan 34 12 16 6 43:28 52
6 Huarte 34 15 2 17 49:47 47
7 Beti Kozkor 34 12 10 12 50:43 46
8 Ezcabarte 34 12 9 13 47:49 45
9 Cortes 34 13 5 16 37:51 44
10 Cirbonero 34 11 10 13 38:42 43
11 Txantrea 34 12 7 15 52:67 43
12 Valle Egues 34 11 9 14 48:57 42
13 Bidezarra 34 10 9 15 34:40 39
14 Aoiz 34 9 9 16 41:49 36
15 CD Beti Onak 34 9 9 16 42:55 36
16 CD Ardoi 34 8 12 14 46:56 36
17 Oberena 34 7 10 17 32:61 31
18 CA Artajones 34 7 10 17 36:61 31
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 (Play Offs)