Sport Picks
Peninsula vs Gold Coast Utd Prediction & H2H Stats
Australia
NPL Queensland AJ Kelly Park, Brisbane 
Match Events
2'
2'
Miyazawa H.
24'
24'
Beckwith L.
50'
50'
Prasad J.
AI Match Summary
Peninsula in this NPL Queensland matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Peninsula.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
30%
41%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gold Coast Utd
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Gold Coast Utd haven't matched Peninsula's recent run of results.
- 41% — that's where the model lands on Gold Coast Utd taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Peninsula have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Peninsula Clean Sheet 20%
Gold Coast Utd Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Peninsula | Gold Coast Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 2 |
| Losses | 8 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 2.03 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.32 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 30, 2026 NPL Queensland
Gold Coast Utd vs Peninsula
0:4
Mar 20, 2026 NPL Queensland
Peninsula vs Gold Coast Utd
4:2
Jul 5, 2025 NPL Queensland
Peninsula vs Gold Coast Utd
7:0
Apr 12, 2025 NPL Queensland
Gold Coast Utd vs Peninsula
1:0
Jun 15, 2024 NPL Queensland
Gold Coast Utd vs Peninsula
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Peninsula Compare
Top Goalscorer Miyazawa H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kovach E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Gold Coast Utd Compare
Top Goalscorer Beckwith L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Prasad J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Peninsula 20 / 100
Gold Coast Utd 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Peninsula Gold Coast Utd
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gold Coast Utd Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Peninsula's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Gold Coast Utd has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.
Peninsula went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Peninsula VS Gold Coast Utd
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Peninsula
(Home) 12 Sept
Queensland Lions
1 : 0 Peninsula
05 Sept
Peninsula
3 : 2 Moreton City Excelsior
30 Aug
Queensland Lions
4 : 1 Peninsula
14 Aug
Peninsula
2 : 2 Brisbane City
08 Aug
Gold Coast Knights SC
2 : 2 Peninsula
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05 Sept
Peninsula
3 : 2 Moreton City Excelsior
14 Aug
Peninsula
2 : 2 Brisbane City
10 Jul
Peninsula
0 : 0 Wynnum Wolves
27 Jun
Peninsula
3 : 1 Brisbane Roar U23
23 May
Peninsula
3 : 2 Magic United TFA FC
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Gold Coast Utd
(Away) 14 Aug
Gold Coast Utd
2 : 0 Eastern Suburbs
08 Aug
Brisbane City
2 : 0 Gold Coast Utd
01 Aug
Gold Coast Utd
1 : 0 Gold Coast Knights SC
25 Jul
Gold Coast Knights SC
1 : 1 Gold Coast Utd
18 Jul
Gold Coast Utd
0 : 1 Queensland Lions
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08 Aug
Brisbane City
2 : 0 Gold Coast Utd
25 Jul
Gold Coast Knights SC
1 : 1 Gold Coast Utd
10 May
Eastern Suburbs
2 : 1 Gold Coast Utd
19 Apr
Queensland Lions
1 : 0 Gold Coast Utd
11 Apr
Moreton City Excelsior
2 : 1 Gold Coast Utd
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Queensland Lions | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 57:22 | 53 |
| 2 | Peninsula | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 49:27 | 45 |
| 3 | Moreton City Excelsior | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 51:35 | 39 |
| 4 | Gold Coast Knights SC | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 46:32 | 38 |
| 5 | Brisbane City | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 47:48 | 34 |
| 6 | Wynnum Wolves | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 36:40 | 33 |
| 7 | Eastern Suburbs | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 34:35 | 29 |
| 8 | Olympic FC | 22 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 39:43 | 26 |
| 9 | Magic United TFA FC | 22 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 33:59 | 22 |
| 10 | Rochedale | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 34:52 | 21 |
| 11 | Gold Coast Utd | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 26:39 | 20 |
| 12 | Brisbane Roar U23 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 32:52 | 16 |
Promotion - NPL Queensland (Play Offs)
Relegation - Queensland Premier League (Main)
