Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Penrhyncoch vs Porthmadog

Wales Wales

Cymru North
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Ellis O.
43' Event
Michalski J.
46' Event
Summers-Jones D.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru North game between Penrhyncoch and Porthmadog finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Porthmadog.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Penrhyncoch
15%
Draws
49%
Porthmadog
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Porthmadog

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Medium Confidence
  • Porthmadog haven't matched Penrhyncoch's recent run of results.
  • Penrhyncoch are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Cymru North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Penrhyncoch Clean Sheet 14%
Porthmadog Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penrhyncoch Porthmadog
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 13 7
Draws 4 2
Losses 15 19
Goals Scored 1.38 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Cymru North
Penrhyncoch vs Porthmadog
1:3
Mar 25, 2023 Cymru North
Porthmadog vs Penrhyncoch
2:1
Aug 13, 2022 Cymru North
Penrhyncoch vs Porthmadog
0:3
Mar 14, 2020 Cymru North
Penrhyncoch vs Porthmadog
0:0
Oct 15, 2019 Cymru North
Porthmadog vs Penrhyncoch
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Penrhyncoch Compare

Top Goalscorer Michalski J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Porthmadog Compare

Top Goalscorer Ellis O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Summers-Jones D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.21
Avg xA / game 0.74

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penrhyncoch 41 / 100
Porthmadog 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penrhyncoch Porthmadog

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Penrhyncoch found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (32 games).

Porthmadog has conceded goals in 96% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Penrhyncoch remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Penrhyncoch VS Porthmadog
1.38 Goals Scored 1.33
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 67%
63% Over 2.5 67%
63% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Penrhyncoch

(Home)
01 Aug
Penrhyncoch
1 : 3
Porthmadog
18 Apr
Penrhyncoch
3 : 0
Rhyl
11 Apr
Penrhyncoch
4 : 1
Gresford
06 Apr
Caersws FC
1 : 2
Penrhyncoch
03 Apr
Denbigh
1 : 0
Penrhyncoch
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Porthmadog

(Away)
01 Aug
Penrhyncoch
1 : 3
Porthmadog
13 Dec
Porthmadog
1 : 2
Rhyl
22 Nov
Porthmadog
3 : 2
Port Talbot
18 Oct
Porthmadog
1 : 0
Buckley
24 Sept
Porthmadog
3 : 2
Denbigh
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brickfield Rangers 1 1 0 0 5:1 3
2 Newtown 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
3 Denbigh 1 1 0 0 4:2 3
4 Porthmadog 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
5 Holyhead 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
6 Bala 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
7 Caersws FC 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
8 Mold Alexandra 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
9 Guilsfield 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
10 Rhyl 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
11 Ruthin Town 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
12 Bangor 1876 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
13 Buckley 1 0 0 1 2:4 0
14 Penrhyncoch 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
15 Gresford 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
16 Llanuwchllyn 1 0 0 1 1:5 0
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)