Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Penrhyncoch vs Porthmadog

Wales Wales

Cymru North
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Ellis O.
43' Event
Michalski J.
46' Event
Summers-Jones D.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru North game between Penrhyncoch and Porthmadog finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Porthmadog.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Penrhyncoch
20%
Draws
70%
Porthmadog
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Porthmadog

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Penrhyncoch have managed 1.34 goals a game lately — Porthmadog are scoring more at 1.5.
  • Porthmadog are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Cymru North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Penrhyncoch Clean Sheet 10%
Porthmadog Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penrhyncoch Porthmadog
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 10
Draws 3 4
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.34 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.07 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Cymru North
Penrhyncoch vs Porthmadog
1:3
Mar 25, 2023 Cymru North
Porthmadog vs Penrhyncoch
2:1
Aug 13, 2022 Cymru North
Penrhyncoch vs Porthmadog
0:3
Mar 14, 2020 Cymru North
Penrhyncoch vs Porthmadog
0:0
Oct 15, 2019 Cymru North
Porthmadog vs Penrhyncoch
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Penrhyncoch Compare

Top Goalscorer Michalski J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Porthmadog Compare

Top Goalscorer Ellis O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Summers-Jones D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penrhyncoch 10 / 100
Porthmadog 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penrhyncoch Porthmadog

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Porthmadog Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Porthmadog conceded in 89% of 28 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Penrhyncoch scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Penrhyncoch remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Penrhyncoch VS Porthmadog
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Penrhyncoch

(Home)
15 Sept
Penrhyncoch
0 : 1
Bala
12 Sept
Penrhyncoch
1 : 5
Bangor 1876
05 Sept
Buckley
5 : 0
Penrhyncoch
31 Aug
Guilsfield
4 : 0
Penrhyncoch
28 Aug
Penrhyncoch
2 : 2
Denbigh
Page 1 of 6

Porthmadog

(Away)
12 Sept
Porthmadog
3 : 0
Ruthin Town
05 Sept
Porthmadog
1 : 2
Bala
31 Aug
Holyhead
2 : 2
Porthmadog
28 Aug
Porthmadog
1 : 3
Caersws FC
21 Aug
Denbigh
2 : 3
Porthmadog
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brickfield Rangers 8 7 0 1 21:4 21
2 Newtown 7 6 1 0 16:1 19
3 Bala 8 6 0 2 15:10 18
4 Mold Alexandra 8 5 2 1 19:9 17
5 Bangor 1876 8 5 1 2 21:11 16
6 Porthmadog 8 4 2 2 15:11 14
7 Caersws FC 7 4 1 2 13:9 13
8 Guilsfield 8 2 4 2 13:12 10
9 Llanuwchllyn 7 3 1 3 11:17 10
10 Rhyl 7 2 3 2 14:13 9
11 Buckley 8 2 2 4 15:14 8
12 Denbigh 8 2 1 5 16:17 7
13 Holyhead 7 1 1 5 7:14 4
14 Ruthin Town 8 1 1 6 6:19 4
15 Gresford 7 0 1 6 2:20 1
16 Penrhyncoch 8 0 1 7 4:27 1
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)