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Penya Ciutadella Esportiva vs El Espinar Sant Rafel

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 11 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 11 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Penya Ciutadella Esportiva
39%
Draws
30%
El Espinar Sant Rafel
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Penya Ciutadella Esportiva haven't matched El Espinar Sant Rafel's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 11 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • El Espinar Sant Rafel have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Penya Ciutadella Esportiva Clean Sheet 19%
El Espinar Sant Rafel Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penya Ciutadella Esportiva El Espinar Sant Rafel
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 8
Draws 9 6
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 0 1.5
Goals Conceded 0 1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Penya Ciutadella Esportiva vs El Espinar Sant Rafel
0:2
Oct 23, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
El Espinar Sant Rafel vs Penya Ciutadella Esportiva
5:0
Mar 20, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Penya Ciutadella Esportiva vs El Espinar Sant Rafel
1:1
Nov 8, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
El Espinar Sant Rafel vs Penya Ciutadella Esportiva
3:1
Apr 19, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
El Espinar Sant Rafel vs Penya Ciutadella Esportiva
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penya Ciutadella Esportiva 32 / 100
El Espinar Sant Rafel 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penya Ciutadella Esportiva El Espinar Sant Rafel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

El Espinar Sant Rafel let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Solid form: Penya Ciutadella Esportiva remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Penya Ciutadella Esportiva scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS El Espinar Sant Rafel
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mallorca B38248679:2980
2Formentera38239669:2978
3Pena Deportiva382111663:3274
4Constancia381714758:3065
5UD Poblense381614857:3062
6Alcudia381871352:3961
7Mercadal3817101149:4261
8Binissalem3816111149:3859
9CD Montuiri3815121149:4957
10Collerense381671552:5155
11El Espinar Sant Rafel3813141143:3753
12Ferriolense3811121536:4245
13Campos3810141447:5944
14Penya Ciutadella Esportiva3811101746:6143
15Esporles381172035:5640
16Rotlet Molinar389111842:7038
17Santa Catalina Atletico389101933:5237
18Platges de Calvia387141728:5535
19Soller38592432:8124
20UD Alaro384102418:5522