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Penzugyor SE vs Balatonlelle

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southwest 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Kustudic P.
85' Event
Kustudic P.

AI Match Summary

Penzugyor SE in this NB III - Southwest 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Penzugyor SE.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Penzugyor SE
20%
Draws
70%
Balatonlelle
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Balatonlelle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Balatonlelle have won more games recently than Penzugyor SE.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Balatonlelle taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Penzugyor SE Clean Sheet 17%
Balatonlelle Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penzugyor SE Balatonlelle
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 6
Draws 8 6
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 1.03 0.87
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 NB III - Southwest
Penzugyor SE vs Balatonlelle
2:0
Oct 5, 2025 NB III - Southwest
Balatonlelle vs Penzugyor SE
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Penzugyor SE Compare

Top Goalscorer Kustudic P.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Balatonlelle Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penzugyor SE 20 / 100
Balatonlelle 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penzugyor SE Balatonlelle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Balatonlelle Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Balatonlelle has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Penzugyor SE found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Penzugyor SE stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Penzugyor SE VS Balatonlelle
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Penzugyor SE

(Home)
22 Aug
Penzugyor SE
1 : 2
Harta SE
24 May
Pecsi MFC
1 : 0
Penzugyor SE
17 May
Penzugyor SE
2 : 2
Szekszardi
10 May
Majosi
4 : 0
Penzugyor SE
03 May
Penzugyor SE
1 : 3
Kaposvar
Page 1 of 6

Balatonlelle

(Away)
24 May
Balatonlelle
1 : 3
Ivancsa
17 May
PTE-PEAC
1 : 1
Balatonlelle
10 May
Balatonlelle
1 : 0
Dombovari
02 May
Erdi
3 : 2
Balatonlelle
26 Apr
Balatonlelle
1 : 0
Paks II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nagykanizsa FC 30 21 6 3 64:27 69
2 Pecsi MFC 30 20 7 3 71:25 67
3 Kaposvar 30 20 3 7 64:32 63
4 Ferencvaros II 30 17 4 9 63:43 55
5 Majosi 30 17 3 10 78:49 54
6 MTK Budapest II 30 16 4 10 62:33 52
7 Erdi 30 15 7 8 47:39 52
8 Dunaujvaros 30 13 10 7 58:42 49
9 Ivancsa 30 11 6 13 49:44 39
10 Siofok 30 11 5 14 40:55 38
11 Paks II 30 10 2 18 42:62 32
12 Szekszardi 30 9 4 17 43:75 31
13 PTE-PEAC 30 6 10 14 39:51 28
14 Balatonlelle 30 6 6 18 24:53 24
15 Penzugyor SE 30 4 8 18 31:61 20
16 Dombovari 30 0 3 27 22:106 3
Promotion - NB III - Promotion Play Offs (Main)