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Persekat Tegal vs Nusantara Prediction & H2H Stats

Indonesia Indonesia

Liga 2 2024/2025 Tri Sanja Stadium, Tegal
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Safrizal Y.
32'
Hamdi Sula
35'
Afghoni I.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 2024/2025 game between Persekat Tegal and Nusantara finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nusantara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Persekat Tegal
20%
Draws
40%
Nusantara
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nusantara come out ahead of Persekat Tegal on wins alone.
  • Persekat Tegal are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Persekat Tegal Clean Sheet 68%
Nusantara Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Persekat Tegal Nusantara
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 6 10
Draws 10 9
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 0.84 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 19, 2024 Championship
Nusantara vs Persekat Tegal
0:0
Oct 13, 2024 Championship
Persekat Tegal vs Nusantara
1:2
Nov 27, 2022 Championship
Nusantara vs Persekat Tegal
0:0
Sep 17, 2022 Championship
Persekat Tegal vs Nusantara
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Persekat Tegal Compare

Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Nusantara Compare

Top Goalscorer Safrizal Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gandrum Q.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Persekat Tegal 59 / 100
Nusantara 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Persekat Tegal Nusantara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Persekat Tegal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nusantara has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Persekat Tegal scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

Nusantara lost 3 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Persekat Tegal VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Persekat Tegal

(Home)
08 May
Persekat Tegal
1 : 2
Balikpapan
02 May
Sumsel United
3 : 1
Persekat Tegal
26 Apr
Persekat Tegal
1 : 1
Persiraja Aceh
19 Apr
PSPS Riau
4 : 2
Persekat Tegal
12 Apr
Persekat Tegal
2 : 0
Sriwijaya
Page 1 of 7

Nusantara

(Away)
15 Feb
Nusantara
2 : 1
Sriwijaya
10 Feb
Persikota Tangerang
3 : 3
Nusantara
04 Feb
PSMS Medan
4 : 0
Nusantara
30 Jan
Nusantara
0 : 1
PSMS Medan
24 Jan
Sriwijaya
3 : 0
Nusantara
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persiraja Aceh 16 10 4 2 33:17 34
2 PSKC Cimahi 16 8 3 5 19:15 27
3 PSPS Riau 16 7 6 3 27:19 27
4 PSMS Medan 16 7 5 4 23:13 26
5 Bekasi City 16 7 4 5 23:18 25
6 Persikota Tangerang 16 6 2 8 23:24 20
7 Dejan 16 5 5 6 17:23 20
8 Sriwijaya 16 3 5 8 19:23 14
9 Persikabo 1973 16 1 2 13 15:47 5
Promotion - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Bhayangkara 16 9 6 1 27:7 33
2 PSIM Yogyakarta 16 8 5 3 28:7 29
3 Persijap Jepara 16 7 7 2 20:9 28
4 Isenmulang Kalteng 16 7 4 5 20:14 25
5 Nusantara 16 4 7 5 14:21 19
6 Persekat Tegal 16 5 3 8 17:21 18
7 Persipa Pati 16 4 6 6 11:16 18
8 Persiku Kudus 16 3 7 6 8:15 16
9 Persikas Subang 16 2 1 13 10:45 7
Promotion - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persela Lamongan 14 7 5 2 23:13 26
2 Deltras Sidoarjo 14 6 7 1 22:11 25
3 Persipura Jayapura 14 7 2 5 25:14 23
4 Persibo Bojonegoro 14 7 2 5 25:17 23
5 Persipal BU 14 6 4 4 18:18 22
6 Gresik 14 6 3 5 18:16 21
7 RANS Nusantara 14 2 3 9 9:36 9
8 Persewar Waropen 14 1 2 11 16:31 -4
Promotion - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)