Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Persela Lamongan vs Persipal BU

Indonesia Indonesia

Championship 2025/2026 Stadion Surajaya, Lamongan
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Utomo P. R.
25' Event
Agung T.
29'
Hambali M.

AI Match Summary

Persela Lamongan in this Championship 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 7-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Persela Lamongan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Persela Lamongan
20%
Draws
0%
Persipal BU
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Persela Lamongan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Persela Lamongan have won more games recently than Persipal BU.
  • Persela Lamongan are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Persela Lamongan Clean Sheet 68%
Persipal BU Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Persela Lamongan Persipal BU
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 3
Draws 8 7
Losses 9 20
Goals Scored 1.21 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.93 3
Expected Goals (xG) 3.19 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Championship
Persela Lamongan vs Persipal BU
7:1
Jan 31, 2026 Championship
Persipal BU vs Persela Lamongan
1:3
Nov 7, 2025 Championship
Persela Lamongan vs Persipal BU
2:0
Jan 5, 2025 Championship
Persela Lamongan vs Persipal BU
0:0
Oct 27, 2024 Championship
Persipal BU vs Persela Lamongan
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Persela Lamongan Compare

Top Goalscorer Utomo P. R.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Agung T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.59

Persipal BU Compare

Top Goalscorer Ichimura R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Persela Lamongan 95 / 100
Persipal BU 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Persela Lamongan Persipal BU

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Persela Lamongan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Persipal BU conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Difficult form: Persipal BU registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Persela Lamongan's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Persela Lamongan VS Persipal BU
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 4.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Persela Lamongan

(Home)
29 Aug
Persela Lamongan
1 : 0
PSPS Riau
03 May
Tornado Pekanbaru
5 : 0
Persela Lamongan
25 Apr
Persela Lamongan
1 : 1
PS Barito Putera
18 Apr
Persela Lamongan
7 : 1
Persipal BU
11 Apr
Persipura Jayapura
0 : 0
Persela Lamongan
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Persipal BU

(Away)
03 May
PS Barito Putera
8 : 3
Persipal BU
26 Apr
Persipal BU
0 : 5
Persipura Jayapura
18 Apr
Persela Lamongan
7 : 1
Persipal BU
12 Apr
Persipal BU
2 : 4
Deltras Sidoarjo
04 Apr
PSS Sleman
7 : 0
Persipal BU
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Garudayaksa 27 14 10 3 49:19 52
2 Isenmulang Kalteng 27 14 9 4 64:34 51
3 Bekasi City 27 12 8 7 42:27 44
4 Sumsel United 27 12 6 9 40:33 42
5 Persiraja Aceh 27 10 10 7 42:32 40
6 PSPS Riau 27 9 10 8 50:45 37
7 PSMS Medan 27 9 9 9 33:31 36
8 Persikad Depok 27 9 7 11 39:45 34
9 Persekat Tegal 27 6 9 12 23:38 27
10 Sriwijaya 27 0 2 25 15:93 2
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSS Sleman 27 16 8 3 53:19 56
2 Persipura Jayapura 27 17 5 5 44:17 56
3 PS Barito Putera 27 15 8 4 41:18 53
4 Tornado Pekanbaru 27 15 5 7 47:21 50
5 Deltras Sidoarjo 27 13 3 11 39:33 42
6 Persela Lamongan 27 11 8 8 34:26 41
7 Persiku Kudus 27 7 6 14 35:41 27
8 PSIS Semarang 27 6 5 16 22:50 23
9 Balikpapan 27 4 7 16 23:42 19
10 Persipal BU 27 0 7 20 19:90 7
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)