Sport Picks
Persipal BU vs Balikpapan
Indonesia
Championship Gawalise Stadium, Palu 
Match Events
30'
30'
Utomo P. R.
Assist: Firmansyah F.
46'
46'
Sub
Utomo P. R. In: Pandi Pulu A.
Out: Utomo P. R.
67'
67'
Sub
Masagus Zakaria In: Ahmad A.
Out: Masagus Zakaria
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Championship matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
20%
80%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Balikpapan
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Balikpapan have won more games recently than Persipal BU.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on Balikpapan taking it.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Persipal BU Clean Sheet 10%
Balikpapan Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Persipal BU | Balikpapan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 3 | 5 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 20 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 0.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 4.5 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 4.50 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 23, 2026 Championship
Persipal BU vs Balikpapan
1:1
Nov 17, 2025 Championship
Persipal BU vs Balikpapan
1:1
Sep 21, 2025 Championship
Balikpapan vs Persipal BU
3:2
Dec 10, 2023 Championship
Balikpapan vs Persipal BU
2:0
Oct 19, 2023 Championship
Persipal BU vs Balikpapan
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Persipal BU Compare
Top Goalscorer Utomo P. R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Balikpapan Compare
Top Goalscorer Nishihara T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Persipal BU 10 / 100
Balikpapan 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Persipal BU Balikpapan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick BAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Balikpapan has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Persipal BU scored in 57% of their last 30 games.
Away concern: Balikpapan has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Persipal BU VS Balikpapan
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
4.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
88% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Persipal BU
(Home) 03 May
PS Barito Putera
8 : 3 Persipal BU
26 Apr
Persipal BU
0 : 5 Persipura Jayapura
18 Apr
Persela Lamongan
7 : 1 Persipal BU
12 Apr
Persipal BU
2 : 4 Deltras Sidoarjo
04 Apr
PSS Sleman
7 : 0 Persipal BU
Page 1 of 6
26 Apr
Persipal BU
0 : 5 Persipura Jayapura
12 Apr
Persipal BU
2 : 4 Deltras Sidoarjo
27 Feb
Persipal BU
1 : 4 Persiku Kudus
23 Feb
Persipal BU
1 : 1 Balikpapan
31 Jan
Persipal BU
1 : 3 Persela Lamongan
Page 1 of 3
Balikpapan
(Away) 08 May
Persekat Tegal
1 : 2 Balikpapan
03 May
Deltras Sidoarjo
2 : 1 Balikpapan
26 Apr
Balikpapan
1 : 1 PSS Sleman
18 Apr
PS Barito Putera
3 : 3 Balikpapan
12 Apr
Tornado Pekanbaru
3 : 0 Balikpapan
Page 1 of 6
08 May
Persekat Tegal
1 : 2 Balikpapan
03 May
Deltras Sidoarjo
2 : 1 Balikpapan
18 Apr
PS Barito Putera
3 : 3 Balikpapan
12 Apr
Tornado Pekanbaru
3 : 0 Balikpapan
28 Mar
Persela Lamongan
2 : 0 Balikpapan
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Garudayaksa | 27 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 49:19 | 52 |
| 2 | Adhyaksa | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 64:34 | 51 |
| 3 | Bekasi City | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 42:27 | 44 |
| 4 | Sumsel United | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 40:33 | 42 |
| 5 | Persiraja Aceh | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 42:32 | 40 |
| 6 | PSPS Riau | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 50:45 | 37 |
| 7 | PSMS Medan | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 33:31 | 36 |
| 8 | Persikad Depok | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 39:45 | 34 |
| 9 | Persekat Tegal | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 23:38 | 27 |
| 10 | Sriwijaya | 27 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 15:93 | 2 |
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSS Sleman | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 53:19 | 56 |
| 2 | Persipura Jayapura | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 44:17 | 56 |
| 3 | PS Barito Putera | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 41:18 | 53 |
| 4 | Tornado Pekanbaru | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 47:21 | 50 |
| 5 | Deltras Sidoarjo | 27 | 13 | 3 | 11 | 39:33 | 42 |
| 6 | Persela Lamongan | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 34:26 | 41 |
| 7 | Persiku Kudus | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 35:41 | 27 |
| 8 | PSIS Semarang | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 22:50 | 23 |
| 9 | Balikpapan | 27 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 23:42 | 19 |
| 10 | Persipal BU | 27 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 19:90 | 7 |
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation - Play Offs)
