Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Petapa vs Malacateco

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2018/2019
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Velasquez A.
42' Event
Santeliz E.
68' Event
Valenzuela J.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional 2018/2019 game between Petapa and Malacateco finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Malacateco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Petapa
15%
Draws
85%
Malacateco
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Malacateco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Malacateco carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Malacateco are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Malacateco have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Petapa Clean Sheet 25%
Malacateco Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Petapa Malacateco
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 4 12
Draws 4 8
Losses 22 18
Goals Scored 0.67 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.3 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2019 Liga Nacional
Petapa vs Malacateco
1:2
Feb 24, 2019 Liga Nacional
Malacateco vs Petapa
2:0
Oct 7, 2018 Liga Nacional
Malacateco vs Petapa
2:1
Aug 4, 2018 Liga Nacional
Petapa vs Malacateco
1:2
Apr 18, 2018 Liga Nacional
Malacateco vs Petapa
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Petapa Compare

Top Goalscorer Velasquez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Malacateco Compare

Top Goalscorer Santeliz E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Valenzuela J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Petapa 10 / 100
Malacateco 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Petapa Malacateco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malacateco Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malacateco's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 38 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Petapa scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Away concern: Malacateco has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Malacateco
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Petapa

(Home)
05 May
Petapa
0 : 3
Siquinala
02 May
Comunicaciones
5 : 0
Petapa
27 Apr
Petapa
1 : 2
Malacateco
24 Apr
Sanarate
4 : 1
Petapa
19 Apr
Petapa
1 : 2
Deportivo Chiantla
Page 1 of 6

Malacateco

(Away)
06 Sept
Malacateco
2 : 0
Suchitepequez
30 Aug
Aurora F.C.
1 : 0
Malacateco
24 Aug
Malacateco
2 : 0
Deportivo San Pedro
16 Aug
Comunicaciones
4 : 2
Malacateco
08 Aug
Malacateco
2 : 2
Xelaju
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Antigua 22 12 5 5 36:20 41
2 Coban Imperial 22 12 4 6 35:25 40
3 Comunicaciones 22 11 6 5 32:14 39
4 Municipal 22 10 6 6 37:22 36
5 Malacateco 22 10 6 6 24:20 36
6 Guastatoya 22 9 8 5 27:16 35
7 Deportivo Chiantla 22 8 6 8 21:25 30
8 Xelaju 22 8 5 9 27:25 29
9 Siquinala 22 7 5 10 23:25 26
10 Iztapa 22 7 4 11 21:28 25
11 Sanarate 22 7 2 13 22:38 23
12 Petapa 22 2 1 19 12:59 7
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2018/2019 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2018/2019 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2018/2019 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2018/2019 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2018/2019 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2018/2019 (Clausura - Play Offs)