Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Peterborough vs Cardiff

England England

League One 2025/2026 Weston Homes Stadium, Peterborough
Our Tip

Match Events

42'
Turnbull D.
45'
Sub
Lees T. In: Kioso P.
Out: Lees T.
45'
Leonard H.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this League One 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Peterborough
33%
Draws
40%
Cardiff
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Cardiff

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cardiff lately — more wins on the board than Peterborough.
  • Win probability leans Cardiff's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular League One 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Peterborough Clean Sheet 10%
Cardiff Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Peterborough Cardiff
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 16
Draws 7 8
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1 3.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2026 League One
Peterborough vs Cardiff
1:1
Nov 1, 2025 FA Cup
Peterborough vs Cardiff
1:0
Aug 2, 2025 League One
Cardiff vs Peterborough
2:1
Feb 9, 2022 Championship
Cardiff vs Peterborough
4:0
Aug 17, 2021 Championship
Peterborough vs Cardiff
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Peterborough Compare

Top Goalscorer Leonard H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Cardiff Compare

Top Goalscorer Robertson A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.85
Avg xA / game 1.74

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Peterborough 26 / 100
Cardiff 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Peterborough Cardiff

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Peterborough scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Cardiff conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Peterborough remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Peterborough VS Cardiff
1 Goals Scored 3.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Peterborough

(Home)
25 Jul
Boston United
1 : 0
Peterborough
22 Jul
Peterborough Sports
0 : 1
Peterborough
21 Jul
Colchester
2 : 3
Peterborough
17 Jul
Peterborough
0 : 0
Neom SC
02 May
Peterborough
1 : 3
Doncaster
Page 1 of 6

Cardiff

(Away)
25 Jul
Forest Green
1 : 5
Cardiff
14 Jul
Cork City
1 : 6
Cardiff
11 Jul
Cardiff
0 : 6
Midtjylland
02 May
Mansfield
5 : 4
Cardiff
25 Apr
Cardiff
5 : 1
Northampton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lincoln City463110589:41103
2Cardiff462710990:5091
3Stockport County4622111371:5877
4Bradford City4622111358:5177
5Bolton461918970:5275
6Stevenage4621121349:4675
7Luton4621111468:5674
8Plymouth462271775:6373
9Huddersfield4618131574:6467
10Mansfield4616171362:5065
11Wycombe4617121769:5863
12Reading4616151564:6063
13Blackpool461792054:6560
14Doncaster461792050:6960
15Barnsley4615141768:7359
16Wigan4614141849:5856
17Burton4613151850:6054
18Peterborough461582364:6853
19AFC Wimbledon461582351:7253
20Leyton Orient4614102259:7152
21Exeter4612132152:6149
22Port Vale4610122436:6142
23Rotherham4610112541:7141
24Northampton46982939:7435
Promotion - Championship (Main)
Promotion - League One 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two (Main)