Sport Picks

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Peterhead vs Aberdeen B

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup Balmoor
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Peterhead play Aberdeen B in the Challenge Cup. Peterhead are favorites here. Recently, Peterhead averaged 1.71 goals scored and 1.69 conceded. Aberdeen B averaged 1.71 goals scored and 2.38 conceded. In past meetings, Peterhead won 3, Aberdeen B won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 12, 2025 ended 4:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.24 for Peterhead and 2.08 for Aberdeen B. This points to a Peterhead double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Peterhead
15%
Draws
24%
Aberdeen B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Peterhead

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

87% / Very High Confidence
  • Peterhead picked up more points recently compared to Aberdeen B.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.24 vs 2.08 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 75%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66%
Peterhead Clean Sheet 10%
Aberdeen B Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 83%
Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Peterhead Aberdeen B
Matches Played 35 21
Wins 15 5
Draws 5 2
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.71 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.69 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.60

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2025 Challenge Cup
Peterhead vs Aberdeen B
4:2
Jul 9, 2025 Club Friendly
Peterhead vs Aberdeen B
4:0
Aug 15, 2023 Challenge Cup
Aberdeen B vs Peterhead
3:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Peterhead Compare

Top Goalscorer Colloty O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader McGinn N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Aberdeen B Compare

Top Goalscorer Searle J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stephen T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.18
Avg xA / game 1.33

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Peterhead 57 / 100
Aberdeen B 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Peterhead Aberdeen B

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Peterhead Win (1)
Secondary Pick Peterhead & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.3%
1.89
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.45
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Peterhead attacking → ← attacking Aberdeen B

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Peterhead scored in 80% of their last 35 games.

Aberdeen B let in goals in 90% of their last 21 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Peterhead went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Aberdeen B lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

50 Points in last 5 17
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 2.40
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.60

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Inverness660026:418
2Stenhousemuir660018:218
3Montrose651018:916
4East Fife641117:913
5Stranraer641112:613
6East Kilbride640213:1112
7Forfar Athletic640210:812
8Edinburgh City640211:1012
9Spartans632114:811
10Elgin City632111:911
11Dumbarton632110:811
12Annan631215:1010
13Alloa631217:1410
14Kelty Hearts63129:610
15Clyde631214:1210
16Queen of the South631212:1010
17Hamilton631213:89
18Stirling63039:99
19Cove Rangers62229:68
20Peterhead622210:108
21Celtic B620412:156
22Hearts B62049:146
23Hibernian B612311:145
24St. Mirren B61149:154
25Dundee Utd B61055:183
26Aberdeen B60159:201
27Motherwell B60152:171
28Rangers B60066:160
29Kilmarnock B60063:190
30Dundee FC B60064:210