Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Petrikov vs ML Vitebsk

Belarus Belarus

Pershaya Liga 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Khadzhiev R.
38'
Balanovich S.
43'
Sub
Seleznev I. In: Denisyuk A.
Out: Seleznev I.

AI Match Summary

The Pershaya Liga 2023 game between Petrikov and ML Vitebsk finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ML Vitebsk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Petrikov
30%
Draws
52%
ML Vitebsk
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: ML Vitebsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Petrikov haven't matched ML Vitebsk's recent run of results.
  • Model gives ML Vitebsk a 52% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Petrikov Clean Sheet 13%
ML Vitebsk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Petrikov ML Vitebsk
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 15
Draws 4 8
Losses 20 7
Goals Scored 1.03 1.87
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2023 Pershaya Liga
Petrikov vs ML Vitebsk
1:3
May 1, 2023 Pershaya Liga
ML Vitebsk vs Petrikov
0:2
Sep 11, 2022 Pershaya Liga
Petrikov vs ML Vitebsk
0:0
May 9, 2022 Pershaya Liga
ML Vitebsk vs Petrikov
1:0
Sep 5, 2020 Division 2 - Group B
Petrikov vs ML Vitebsk
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Petrikov Compare

Top Goalscorer Bolvan A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

ML Vitebsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Grudko I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Khadzhiev R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.53
Avg xA / game 0.93

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Petrikov 10 / 100
ML Vitebsk 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Petrikov ML Vitebsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ML Vitebsk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Petrikov scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: ML Vitebsk conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Petrikov has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS ML Vitebsk
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Petrikov

(Home)
25 Nov
FK Lida
3 : 1
Petrikov
18 Nov
Petrikov
0 : 1
Dnepr Mogilev
12 Nov
Niva Dolbizno
1 : 3
Petrikov
05 Nov
Petrikov
1 : 5
Zhodino Yuzhnoe
28 Oct
Vitebsk
2 : 1
Petrikov
Page 1 of 6

ML Vitebsk

(Away)
18 Sept
ML Vitebsk
5 : 1
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
13 Sept
Dnepr Mogilev
1 : 1
ML Vitebsk
06 Sept
ML Vitebsk
0 : 0
Din. Minsk
02 Sept
ML Vitebsk
1 : 1
Belshina
29 Aug
Dynamo Brest
1 : 3
ML Vitebsk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 32 26 3 3 86:30 81
2 Dnepr Mogilev 32 22 7 3 75:24 73
3 Vitebsk 32 23 4 5 68:22 73
4 Lokomotiv Gomel 32 19 5 8 55:40 62
5 ML Vitebsk 32 19 4 9 84:52 61
6 FK Baranovici 32 14 6 12 46:49 48
7 Zhodino Yuzhnoe 32 13 7 12 62:52 46
8 Volna Pinsk 32 12 7 13 41:49 43
9 Niva Dolbizno 32 12 5 15 53:66 41
10 FK Lida 32 12 5 15 44:48 41
11 Molodechno 32 11 8 13 51:56 41
12 Ostrovets 32 10 9 13 54:62 39
13 BumProm Gomel 32 10 8 14 45:62 38
14 Orsha 32 8 7 17 50:62 31
15 FC Slonim 32 5 7 20 26:63 22
16 Petrikov 32 6 4 22 33:72 22
17 Osipovichi 32 1 2 29 21:85 5
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga 2023 (Main)
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga 2023 (Relegation)