Sport Picks

USA

MLS Next Pro Subaru Park

Match Events

15'

Benitez O.

16'

Pratt O.

28'

Monis A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Philadelphia Union II host CT United FC in the MLS Next Pro. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Philadelphia Union II have averaged 0.75 scored and 1.88 conceded recently, against CT United FC's 2.38 scored and 1.5 conceded. Head-to-head, Philadelphia Union II have won 1 to CT United FC's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 2.13, favoring Philadelphia Union II. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%

Philadelphia Union II

28%

Draws

50%

CT United FC

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: CT United FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Philadelphia Union II has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to CT United FC.
Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for CT United FC.
League standings and seasonal metrics in MLS Next Pro provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Philadelphia Union II Clean Sheet 10%

CT United FC Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Philadelphia Union II	CT United FC
Matches Played	28	16
Wins	15	8
Draws	1	0
Losses	12	8
Goals Scored	0.75	2.38
Goals Conceded	1.88	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 MLS Next Pro

CT United FC vs Philadelphia Union II

Possession: 54% - 43% Cards: 2 - 3

1:2

Mar 15, 2026 MLS Next Pro

Philadelphia Union II vs CT United FC

Possession: 41% - 43% Cards: 0 - 3

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Philadelphia Union II Compare

Top Goalscorer Jakupovic M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

CT United FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Goddard L.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Tanyi B.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.16

Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Philadelphia Union II 22 / 100

CT United FC 48 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Philadelphia Union II CT United FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CON Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Philadelphia Union II scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

CT United FC let in goals in 88% of their last 16 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Philadelphia Union II went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

CT United FC lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Philadelphia Union II VS CT United FC

0.75 Goals Scored 2.38

1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5

75% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 88%

13% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Columbus Crew 2	17	12	5	31:27	34
2	New York Red Bulls II	17	10	7	39:24	32
3	New England Revolution II	16	11	5	21:18	31
4	New York City II	16	9	7	27:23	28
5	Philadelphia Union II	17	8	9	21:21	24
6	CT United FC	16	8	8	28:29	22
7	Toronto FC II	17	7	10	25:32	22
8	FC Cincinnati 2	16	5	11	15:29	14

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Crown Legacy	17	12	5	41:25	34
2	Chattanooga	17	11	6	33:28	31
3	Atlanta United 2	17	9	8	38:26	30
4	Orlando City B	17	10	7	37:31	30
5	Chicago Fire II	16	8	8	24:24	24
6	Huntsville City	16	7	9	29:35	21
7	Carolina Core	18	5	13	21:31	17
8	Inter Miami II	16	1	15	14:41	5

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Portland Timbers 2	18	11	7	23:22	34
2	Ventura County	18	10	8	32:27	29
3	Los Angeles FC 2	17	9	8	28:28	29
4	San Jose Earthquakes II	15	9	6	37:18	28
5	Real Monarchs	18	10	8	29:31	26
6	Tacoma Defiance	17	7	10	18:24	21
7	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	19	6	13	25:40	17

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Austin FC II	16	13	3	34:13	40
2	Houston Dynamo 2	16	13	3	37:14	37
3	St. Louis City 2	18	10	8	29:30	29
4	Minnesota United 2	18	9	9	25:29	26
5	North Texas	16	7	9	26:21	22
6	Sporting Kansas City II	18	4	14	23:50	13
7	Colorado Rapids 2	18	3	15	16:35	12

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Columbus Crew 2	17	12	5	31:27	34
2	Crown Legacy	17	12	5	41:25	34
3	New York Red Bulls II	17	10	7	39:24	32
4	Chattanooga	17	11	6	33:28	31
5	New England Revolution II	16	11	5	21:18	31
6	Atlanta United 2	17	9	8	38:26	30
7	Orlando City B	17	10	7	37:31	30
8	New York City II	16	9	7	27:23	28
9	Philadelphia Union II	17	8	9	21:21	24
10	Chicago Fire II	16	8	8	24:24	24
11	CT United FC	16	8	8	28:29	22
12	Toronto FC II	17	7	10	25:32	22
13	Huntsville City	16	7	9	29:35	21
14	Carolina Core	18	5	13	21:31	17
15	FC Cincinnati 2	16	5	11	15:29	14
16	Inter Miami II	16	1	15	14:41	5

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Austin FC II	16	13	3	34:13	40
2	Houston Dynamo 2	16	13	3	37:14	37
3	Portland Timbers 2	18	11	7	23:22	34
4	Ventura County	18	10	8	32:27	29
5	Los Angeles FC 2	17	9	8	28:28	29
6	St. Louis City 2	18	10	8	29:30	29
7	San Jose Earthquakes II	15	9	6	37:18	28
8	Minnesota United 2	18	9	9	25:29	26
9	Real Monarchs	18	10	8	29:31	26
10	North Texas	16	7	9	26:21	22
11	Tacoma Defiance	17	7	10	18:24	21
12	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	19	6	13	25:40	17
13	Sporting Kansas City II	18	4	14	23:50	13
14	Colorado Rapids 2	18	3	15	16:35	12