Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Philadelphia Union II vs FC Cincinnati 2

USA USA

MLS Next Pro Subaru Park, Chester, PA
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Gray N.
7'
Miazga M.
37' Event
Sundstrom F.
Assist: Ferreira W.

AI Match Summary

The MLS Next Pro game between Philadelphia Union II and FC Cincinnati 2 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Philadelphia Union II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Philadelphia Union II
28%
Draws
50%
FC Cincinnati 2
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: FC Cincinnati 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Philadelphia Union II come out ahead of FC Cincinnati 2 on wins alone.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on FC Cincinnati 2 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Philadelphia Union II here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Philadelphia Union II Clean Sheet 18%
FC Cincinnati 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Philadelphia Union II FC Cincinnati 2
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 17 11
Draws 1 0
Losses 15 19
Goals Scored 1 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Philadelphia Union II vs FC Cincinnati 2
1:0
Oct 19, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Philadelphia Union II vs FC Cincinnati 2
2:1
Aug 31, 2025 MLS Next Pro
FC Cincinnati 2 vs Philadelphia Union II
1:2
Aug 3, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Philadelphia Union II vs FC Cincinnati 2
1:0
Jun 3, 2025 MLS Next Pro
FC Cincinnati 2 vs Philadelphia Union II
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Philadelphia Union II Compare

Top Goalscorer Sundstrom F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

FC Cincinnati 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Philadelphia Union II 23 / 100
FC Cincinnati 2 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Philadelphia Union II FC Cincinnati 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CIN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Cincinnati 2 let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Philadelphia Union II scored in 76% of their last 33 games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Philadelphia Union II has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Philadelphia Union II VS FC Cincinnati 2
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Philadelphia Union II

(Home)
25 Jul
Chattanooga
4 : 0
Philadelphia Union II
18 Jul
Columbus Crew 2
2 : 0
Philadelphia Union II
12 Jul
Philadelphia Union II
1 : 0
Huntsville City
05 Jul
New England Revolution II
0 : 4
Philadelphia Union II
28 Jun
New York Red Bulls II
5 : 0
Philadelphia Union II
Page 1 of 7

FC Cincinnati 2

(Away)
26 Jul
FC Cincinnati 2
3 : 2
New England Revolution II
17 Jul
Toronto FC II
3 : 1
FC Cincinnati 2
12 Jul
FC Cincinnati 2
1 : 2
Orlando City B
05 Jul
FC Cincinnati 2
3 : 2
New York Red Bulls II
28 Jun
FC Cincinnati 2
1 : 0
Inter Miami II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Columbus Crew 220140636:3139
2New England Revolution II19120728:2236
3New York Red Bulls II201001040:3232
4CT United FC19110835:3331
5New York City II1890929:2928
6Philadelphia Union II20901121:2726
7Toronto FC II20801231:3825
8FC Cincinnati 219601319:3616
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Crown Legacy19140547:2740
2Chattanooga20130739:3037
3Orlando City B20120840:3435
4Atlanta United 219100941:3033
5Chicago Fire II19100934:2830
6Huntsville City19901032:3528
7Carolina Core21601527:3721
8Inter Miami II18201616:468
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portland Timbers 220130726:2340
2Ventura County20120837:2735
3Los Angeles FC 219100930:3231
4Tacoma Defiance201001025:2730
5San Jose Earthquakes II1890937:2328
6Real Monarchs201001031:3626
7Vancouver Whitecaps 221701426:4519
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Austin FC II19140541:1744
2Houston Dynamo 218150340:1642
3St. Louis City 2201001031:3330
4Minnesota United 2201001028:3229
5North Texas18801029:2326
6Sporting Kansas City II19501424:5016
7Colorado Rapids 220301718:3912
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Crown Legacy19140547:2740
2Columbus Crew 220140636:3139
3Chattanooga20130739:3037
4New England Revolution II19120728:2236
5Orlando City B20120840:3435
6Atlanta United 219100941:3033
7New York Red Bulls II201001040:3232
8CT United FC19110835:3331
9Chicago Fire II19100934:2830
10New York City II1890929:2928
11Huntsville City19901032:3528
12Philadelphia Union II20901121:2726
13Toronto FC II20801231:3825
14Carolina Core21601527:3721
15FC Cincinnati 219601319:3616
16Inter Miami II18201616:468
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Austin FC II19140541:1744
2Houston Dynamo 218150340:1642
3Portland Timbers 220130726:2340
4Ventura County20120837:2735
5Los Angeles FC 219100930:3231
6Tacoma Defiance201001025:2730
7St. Louis City 2201001031:3330
8Minnesota United 2201001028:3229
9San Jose Earthquakes II1890937:2328
10North Texas18801029:2326
11Real Monarchs201001031:3626
12Vancouver Whitecaps 221701426:4519
13Sporting Kansas City II19501424:5016
14Colorado Rapids 220301718:3912
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)