Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Philadelphia Union II vs New England Revolution II

USA USA

MLS Next Pro Subaru Park, Chester, PA
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Olivas S.
26'
Griffin J.
31'
Olivas S.

AI Match Summary

The MLS Next Pro game between Philadelphia Union II and New England Revolution II finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward New England Revolution II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Philadelphia Union II
33%
Draws
40%
New England Revolution II
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: New England Revolution II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Philadelphia Union II haven't matched New England Revolution II's recent run of results.
  • Model gives New England Revolution II a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular MLS Next Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Philadelphia Union II Clean Sheet 13%
New England Revolution II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Philadelphia Union II New England Revolution II
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 16 18
Draws 1 0
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 MLS Next Pro
New England Revolution II vs Philadelphia Union II
0:4
May 13, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Philadelphia Union II vs New England Revolution II
0:1
Aug 24, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Philadelphia Union II vs New England Revolution II
1:3
Jun 26, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Philadelphia Union II vs New England Revolution II
3:2
Mar 9, 2025 MLS Next Pro
New England Revolution II vs Philadelphia Union II
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Philadelphia Union II Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

New England Revolution II Compare

Top Goalscorer Shannon J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Philadelphia Union II 27 / 100
New England Revolution II 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Philadelphia Union II New England Revolution II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick REV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Philadelphia Union II scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

Defensive concern: New England Revolution II conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Away concern: New England Revolution II has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Philadelphia Union II VS New England Revolution II
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Philadelphia Union II

(Home)
25 Jul
Chattanooga
4 : 0
Philadelphia Union II
18 Jul
Columbus Crew 2
2 : 0
Philadelphia Union II
12 Jul
Philadelphia Union II
1 : 0
Huntsville City
05 Jul
New England Revolution II
0 : 4
Philadelphia Union II
28 Jun
New York Red Bulls II
5 : 0
Philadelphia Union II
Page 1 of 7

New England Revolution II

(Away)
26 Jul
FC Cincinnati 2
3 : 2
New England Revolution II
23 Jul
New England Revolution II
3 : 0
New York City II
15 Jul
New England Revolution II
2 : 3
Columbus Crew 2
05 Jul
New England Revolution II
0 : 4
Philadelphia Union II
28 Jun
Toronto FC II
1 : 3
New England Revolution II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Columbus Crew 220140636:3139
2New England Revolution II19120728:2236
3New York Red Bulls II201001040:3232
4CT United FC19110835:3331
5New York City II1890929:2928
6Philadelphia Union II20901121:2726
7Toronto FC II20801231:3825
8FC Cincinnati 219601319:3616
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Crown Legacy19140547:2740
2Chattanooga20130739:3037
3Orlando City B20120840:3435
4Atlanta United 219100941:3033
5Chicago Fire II19100934:2830
6Huntsville City19901032:3528
7Carolina Core21601527:3721
8Inter Miami II18201616:468
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portland Timbers 220130726:2340
2Ventura County20120837:2735
3Los Angeles FC 219100930:3231
4Tacoma Defiance201001025:2730
5San Jose Earthquakes II1890937:2328
6Real Monarchs201001031:3626
7Vancouver Whitecaps 221701426:4519
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Austin FC II19140541:1744
2Houston Dynamo 218150340:1642
3St. Louis City 2201001031:3330
4Minnesota United 2201001028:3229
5North Texas18801029:2326
6Sporting Kansas City II19501424:5016
7Colorado Rapids 220301718:3912
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Crown Legacy19140547:2740
2Columbus Crew 220140636:3139
3Chattanooga20130739:3037
4New England Revolution II19120728:2236
5Orlando City B20120840:3435
6Atlanta United 219100941:3033
7New York Red Bulls II201001040:3232
8CT United FC19110835:3331
9Chicago Fire II19100934:2830
10New York City II1890929:2928
11Huntsville City19901032:3528
12Philadelphia Union II20901121:2726
13Toronto FC II20801231:3825
14Carolina Core21601527:3721
15FC Cincinnati 219601319:3616
16Inter Miami II18201616:468
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Austin FC II19140541:1744
2Houston Dynamo 218150340:1642
3Portland Timbers 220130726:2340
4Ventura County20120837:2735
5Los Angeles FC 219100930:3231
6Tacoma Defiance201001025:2730
7St. Louis City 2201001031:3330
8Minnesota United 2201001028:3229
9San Jose Earthquakes II1890937:2328
10North Texas18801029:2326
11Real Monarchs201001031:3626
12Vancouver Whitecaps 221701426:4519
13Sporting Kansas City II19501424:5016
14Colorado Rapids 220301718:3912
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)