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Toronto FC II

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Philadelphia Union II play Toronto FC II in the MLS Next Pro. It looks like a close match. Recently, Philadelphia Union II averaged 1.62 goals scored and 1.48 conceded. Toronto FC II averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. In past meetings, Philadelphia Union II won 2, Toronto FC II won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 29, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Philadelphia Union II and 1.69 for Toronto FC II. This points to a Philadelphia Union II double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%

Philadelphia Union II

15%

Draws

40%

Toronto FC II

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Philadelphia Union II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Philadelphia Union II picked up more points recently compared to Toronto FC II.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.69 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 76%

Over 2.5 Goals 71%

Over 3.5 Goals 43%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%

Philadelphia Union II Clean Sheet 13%

Toronto FC II Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Philadelphia Union II	Toronto FC II
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	15	13
Draws	1	0
Losses	13	15
Goals Scored	1.62	1.5
Goals Conceded	1.48	1.75
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 MLS Next Pro

Toronto FC II vs Philadelphia Union II

Possession: 54% - 56% Cards: 1 - 3

2:1

Apr 17, 2026 MLS Next Pro

Toronto FC II vs Philadelphia Union II

Possession: 58% - 48% Cards: 3 - 0

1:0

Feb 28, 2026 MLS Next Pro

Philadelphia Union II vs Toronto FC II

Possession: 47% - 58% Cards: 2 - 3

1:0

Sep 26, 2025 MLS Next Pro

Toronto FC II vs Philadelphia Union II

Possession: 51% - 50% Cards: 1 - 3

1:2

Aug 20, 2025 MLS Next Pro

Philadelphia Union II vs Toronto FC II

Possession: 46% - 52% Cards: 4 - 4

2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Philadelphia Union II Compare

Top Goalscorer Jakupovic M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

Toronto FC II Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Philadelphia Union II 43 / 100

Toronto FC II 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Philadelphia Union II Toronto FC II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Philadelphia Union II or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +21.5%

2.70

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.3%

1.54

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Philadelphia Union II attacking → ← attacking Toronto FC II

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Philadelphia Union II scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Toronto FC II let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Philadelphia Union II went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Toronto FC II lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 39

0.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Columbus Crew 2	17	12	5	31:27	34
2	New York Red Bulls II	17	10	7	39:24	32
3	New England Revolution II	16	11	5	21:18	31
4	New York City II	15	8	7	24:23	25
5	Philadelphia Union II	17	8	9	21:21	24
6	CT United FC	16	8	8	28:29	22
7	Toronto FC II	17	7	10	25:32	22
8	FC Cincinnati 2	16	5	11	15:29	14

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Crown Legacy	16	12	4	41:22	34
2	Chattanooga	17	11	6	33:28	31
3	Orlando City B	17	10	7	37:31	30
4	Atlanta United 2	16	8	8	34:25	27
5	Chicago Fire II	16	8	8	24:24	24
6	Huntsville City	16	7	9	29:35	21
7	Carolina Core	18	5	13	21:31	17
8	Inter Miami II	15	1	14	13:37	5

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Portland Timbers 2	17	10	7	23:22	32
2	Ventura County	18	10	8	32:27	29
3	San Jose Earthquakes II	15	9	6	37:18	28
4	Los Angeles FC 2	16	9	7	28:28	28
5	Real Monarchs	17	9	8	27:30	23
6	Tacoma Defiance	17	7	10	18:24	21
7	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	18	6	12	24:38	17

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Austin FC II	16	13	3	34:13	40
2	Houston Dynamo 2	15	12	3	35:13	34
3	St. Louis City 2	17	10	7	28:28	29
4	Minnesota United 2	18	9	9	25:29	26
5	North Texas	15	7	8	26:20	22
6	Sporting Kansas City II	18	4	14	23:50	13
7	Colorado Rapids 2	17	2	15	15:35	9

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Columbus Crew 2	17	12	5	31:27	34
2	Crown Legacy	16	12	4	41:22	34
3	New York Red Bulls II	17	10	7	39:24	32
4	Chattanooga	17	11	6	33:28	31
5	New England Revolution II	16	11	5	21:18	31
6	Orlando City B	17	10	7	37:31	30
7	Atlanta United 2	16	8	8	34:25	27
8	New York City II	15	8	7	24:23	25
9	Philadelphia Union II	17	8	9	21:21	24
10	Chicago Fire II	16	8	8	24:24	24
11	CT United FC	16	8	8	28:29	22
12	Toronto FC II	17	7	10	25:32	22
13	Huntsville City	16	7	9	29:35	21
14	Carolina Core	18	5	13	21:31	17
15	FC Cincinnati 2	16	5	11	15:29	14
16	Inter Miami II	15	1	14	13:37	5

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Austin FC II	16	13	3	34:13	40
2	Houston Dynamo 2	15	12	3	35:13	34
3	Portland Timbers 2	17	10	7	23:22	32
4	Ventura County	18	10	8	32:27	29
5	St. Louis City 2	17	10	7	28:28	29
6	San Jose Earthquakes II	15	9	6	37:18	28
7	Los Angeles FC 2	16	9	7	28:28	28
8	Minnesota United 2	18	9	9	25:29	26
9	Real Monarchs	17	9	8	27:30	23
10	North Texas	15	7	8	26:20	22
11	Tacoma Defiance	17	7	10	18:24	21
12	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	18	6	12	24:38	17
13	Sporting Kansas City II	18	4	14	23:50	13
14	Colorado Rapids 2	17	2	15	15:35	9