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Philadelphia Union vs Tampa Bay

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Philadelphia Union and Tampa Bay finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Philadelphia Union.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Philadelphia Union
40%
Draws
29%
Tampa Bay
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tampa Bay come out ahead of Philadelphia Union on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Philadelphia Union Clean Sheet 10%
Tampa Bay Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Philadelphia Union Tampa Bay
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 19
Draws 6 8
Losses 14 3
Goals Scored 2 1.88
Goals Conceded 2 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Philadelphia Union vs Tampa Bay
2:0
Feb 19, 2017 Club Friendly
Tampa Bay vs Philadelphia Union
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Philadelphia Union 30 / 100
Tampa Bay 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Philadelphia Union Tampa Bay

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Philadelphia Union found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Philadelphia Union stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Tampa Bay let in goals in 47% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Philadelphia Union VS Tampa Bay
2 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 0.63
67% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Philadelphia Union

(Home)
25 Jul
Philadelphia Union
1 : 0
Seattle Sounders
22 Jul
Philadelphia Union
3 : 1
New York Red Bulls
24 May
Inter Miami
6 : 4
Philadelphia Union
16 May
Philadelphia Union
1 : 1
Columbus Crew
13 May
Orlando City
4 : 3
Philadelphia Union
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Tampa Bay

(Away)
25 Jul
Miami FC
2 : 3
Tampa Bay
18 Jul
Loudoun United
1 : 1
Tampa Bay
11 Jul
Tampa Bay
2 : 0
FC Naples
04 Jul
Tampa Bay
1 : 4
Lexington
20 Jun
Brooklyn FC
0 : 2
Tampa Bay
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