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Stadium Background

Philippines vs Guam

World World

Friendly International Rizal Memorial Stadium, Manila
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Mrowka C.
18' Event
Gayoso J.
44' Event
Rublico S.
Assist: Tabinas J.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International game between Philippines and Guam finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Philippines.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Philippines
17%
Draws
13%
Guam
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Philippines

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Philippines carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Philippines a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
  • Philippines have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 73%
Over 4.5 Goals 33%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Philippines Clean Sheet 68%
Guam Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Philippines Guam
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 12 11
Draws 6 2
Losses 13 21
Goals Scored 2.38 3
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2026 Friendly International
Philippines vs Guam
5:1
Jun 11, 2021 World Championship
Philippines vs Guam
3:0
Sep 10, 2019 World Championship
Guam vs Philippines
1:4
Sep 25, 2012 Friendly International
Philippines vs Guam
1:0
Jun 12, 2012 Friendly International
Philippines vs Guam
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Philippines Compare

Top Goalscorer Leipold A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mrowka C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Guam Compare

Top Goalscorer Berg L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Philippines 77 / 100
Guam 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Philippines Guam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PHI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guam let in goals in 82% of their last 34 matches.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Philippines scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Philippines has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Philippines VS Guam
2.38 Goals Scored 3
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.67
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 83%

Recent Form & Match History

Philippines

(Home)
04 Aug
Philippines
0 : 1
Thailand
01 Aug
Laos
1 : 4
Philippines
28 Jul
Philippines
1 : 4
Myanmar
09 Jun
Philippines
5 : 1
Myanmar
03 Jun
Philippines
5 : 1
Guam
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Guam

(Away)
06 Jun
Myanmar
6 : 1
Guam
03 Jun
Philippines
5 : 1
Guam
28 Mar
American Samoa
0 : 6
Guam
26 Mar
Puerto Rico
4 : 0
Guam
22 Dec
Northern Mariana Islands
0 : 8
Guam
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