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Phnom Penh Crown vs Moi Kompong Dewa

Cambodia Cambodia

CPL 2025/2026 RSN Stadium, Phnom Penh
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Chan S.
20' Event
Dyer M.
Assist: Sa T.
31' Event
San B.
Assist: Mirzaev A.

AI Match Summary

Moi Kompong Dewa in this CPL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Moi Kompong Dewa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Phnom Penh Crown
30%
Draws
19%
Moi Kompong Dewa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Phnom Penh Crown

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Phnom Penh Crown lately — more wins on the board than Moi Kompong Dewa.
  • Phnom Penh Crown are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular CPL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Phnom Penh Crown Clean Sheet 16%
Moi Kompong Dewa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Phnom Penh Crown Moi Kompong Dewa
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 16 10
Draws 6 8
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.67 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 CPL
Moi Kompong Dewa vs Phnom Penh Crown
1:0
Mar 8, 2026 CPL
Phnom Penh Crown vs Moi Kompong Dewa
1:2
Jan 10, 2026 CPL
Phnom Penh Crown vs Moi Kompong Dewa
1:1
Sep 19, 2025 CPL
Moi Kompong Dewa vs Phnom Penh Crown
0:1
Feb 1, 2025 CPL
Moi Kompong Dewa vs Phnom Penh Crown
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Phnom Penh Crown Compare

Top Goalscorer Dyer M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Moi Kompong Dewa Compare

Top Goalscorer Chan S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader San B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Phnom Penh Crown 66 / 100
Moi Kompong Dewa 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Phnom Penh Crown Moi Kompong Dewa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Phnom Penh Crown Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Phnom Penh Crown scored in 85% of their last 33 games.

Solid form: Phnom Penh Crown remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Moi Kompong Dewa let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Phnom Penh Crown VS Moi Kompong Dewa
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Phnom Penh Crown

(Home)
17 Sept
Phnom Penh Crown
2 : 1
Kuching City FC
12 Sept
Angkor Tiger
2 : 2
Phnom Penh Crown
05 Sept
Phnom Penh Crown
2 : 2
NagaWorld
17 May
Svay Rieng
1 : 2
Phnom Penh Crown
10 May
Phnom Penh Crown
3 : 0
NagaWorld
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Moi Kompong Dewa

(Away)
13 Sept
Moi Kompong Dewa
0 : 2
Visakha
05 Sept
Angkor Tiger
0 : 0
Moi Kompong Dewa
17 May
Boeung Ket
4 : 3
Moi Kompong Dewa
10 May
Moi Kompong Dewa
1 : 2
Angkor Tiger
03 May
NagaWorld
1 : 3
Moi Kompong Dewa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Svay Rieng 30 20 4 6 82:36 64
2 Phnom Penh Crown 30 17 5 8 53:36 56
3 Angkor Tiger 30 17 5 8 71:41 56
4 Boeung Ket 30 15 8 7 44:29 53
5 NagaWorld 30 12 7 11 42:39 43
6 Moi Kompong Dewa 30 11 8 11 43:45 41
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)