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Phnom Penh Crown vs Svay Rieng

Cambodia Cambodia

CPL 2025/2026 RSN Stadium, Phnom Penh
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Match Events

35'
Orn C.
37' Event
Patrick
Assist: Silveira C.
43'
Bong S.

AI Match Summary

The CPL 2025/2026 game between Phnom Penh Crown and Svay Rieng finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Svay Rieng.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Phnom Penh Crown
30%
Draws
33%
Svay Rieng
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Phnom Penh Crown

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Svay Rieng come out ahead of Phnom Penh Crown on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular CPL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Svay Rieng have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Phnom Penh Crown Clean Sheet 14%
Svay Rieng Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Phnom Penh Crown Svay Rieng
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 13 19
Draws 6 7
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.53 2.24
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.91 1.58
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 CPL
Svay Rieng vs Phnom Penh Crown
1:2
Apr 4, 2026 CPL
Phnom Penh Crown vs Svay Rieng
1:4
Mar 12, 2026 AFC Challenge League
Svay Rieng vs Phnom Penh Crown
2:1
Mar 5, 2026 AFC Challenge League
Phnom Penh Crown vs Svay Rieng
1:4
Jan 18, 2026 CPL
Phnom Penh Crown vs Svay Rieng
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Phnom Penh Crown Compare

Avg xG / game 1.47
Avg xA / game 0.95

Svay Rieng Compare

Top Goalscorer Patrick
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sareth K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.44
Avg xA / game 0.88

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Phnom Penh Crown 31 / 100
Svay Rieng 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Phnom Penh Crown Svay Rieng

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Svay Rieng Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Phnom Penh Crown's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Phnom Penh Crown remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Svay Rieng conceded in 73% of 33 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Phnom Penh Crown VS Svay Rieng
1.57 Goals Scored 1.88
1.29 Goals Conceded 2.25
86% Over 1.5 100%
71% Over 2.5 63%
29% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Phnom Penh Crown

(Home)
17 Sept
Phnom Penh Crown
2 : 1
Kuching City FC
12 Sept
Angkor Tiger
2 : 2
Phnom Penh Crown
05 Sept
Phnom Penh Crown
2 : 2
NagaWorld
17 May
Svay Rieng
1 : 2
Phnom Penh Crown
10 May
Phnom Penh Crown
3 : 0
NagaWorld
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Svay Rieng

(Away)
20 Sept
Dangkor Senchey
1 : 1
Svay Rieng
17 Sept
Machida Zelvia
2 : 0
Svay Rieng
12 Sept
Svay Rieng
4 : 0
Tiffy Army
06 Sept
Kirivong Sok Sen Chey
0 : 3
Svay Rieng
30 Aug
Svay Rieng
2 : 1
Visakha
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Svay Rieng 30 20 4 6 82:36 64
2 Phnom Penh Crown 30 17 5 8 53:36 56
3 Angkor Tiger 30 17 5 8 71:41 56
4 Boeung Ket 30 15 8 7 44:29 53
5 NagaWorld 30 12 7 11 42:39 43
6 Moi Kompong Dewa 30 11 8 11 43:45 41
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)