Sport Picks
Match Events
29'
29'
Bertini M.
45'
45'
Sussi C.
46'
46'
Sub
Capuano M. In: Martella B.
Out: Capuano M.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
35%
23%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pianese
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Ternana lately — more wins on the board than Pianese.
- Pianese are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Ternana arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Ternana, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Pianese Clean Sheet 68%
Ternana Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pianese | Ternana |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 15 | 8 |
| Losses | 4 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 3, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Pianese vs Ternana
1:1
Apr 26, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Ternana vs Pianese
1:3
Dec 21, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Pianese vs Ternana
0:0
Apr 23, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Ternana vs Pianese
2:0
Dec 7, 2024 Serie C - Group B
Pianese vs Ternana
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pianese Compare
Top Goalscorer Coccia L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Ternana Compare
Top Goalscorer Pettinari S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pianese 95 / 100
Ternana 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pianese Ternana
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick PIA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pianese went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Pianese scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Ternana conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Scoring Trends
Pianese VS Ternana
0.88 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Pianese
(Home) 05 Aug
Pianese
2 : 0 Montevarchi
13 May
Lecco
1 : 1 Pianese
10 May
Pianese
1 : 1 Lecco
06 May
Juventus U23
0 : 2 Pianese
03 May
Pianese
1 : 1 Ternana
Page 1 of 6
05 Aug
Pianese
2 : 0 Montevarchi
10 May
Pianese
1 : 1 Lecco
03 May
Pianese
1 : 1 Ternana
18 Apr
Pianese
0 : 0 Juventus U23
04 Apr
Pianese
0 : 2 Campobasso
Page 1 of 3
Ternana
(Away) 03 May
Pianese
1 : 1 Ternana
26 Apr
Ternana
1 : 3 Pianese
18 Apr
Bra
1 : 2 Ternana
12 Apr
Ternana
2 : 2 Perugia
08 Apr
Juventus U23
2 : 1 Ternana
Page 1 of 6
03 May
Pianese
1 : 1 Ternana
18 Apr
Bra
1 : 2 Ternana
08 Apr
Juventus U23
2 : 1 Ternana
04 Apr
Guidonia 1937
1 : 1 Ternana
14 Mar
Vis Pesaro
1 : 0 Ternana
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Casertana 1
Atalanta U23 0
Crotone 1
Audace Cerignola 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Salernitana -
Cittadella 2
Arzignano 2
Lumezzane 0
Alcione Milano 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ravenna -
Cosenza -
TBD -
Monopoli 0
Casarano 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Renate -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Union Brescia -
Campobasso -
TBD -
Pineto 2
Gubbio 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Potenza -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ascoli -
Juventus U23 2
Vis Pesaro 2
Pianese 1
Ternana 1
Lecco -
TBD -
Trento 1
Giana Erminio 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Catania -
1/16-finals
Casertana 1
Crotone 1
TBD -
Salernitana -
Cittadella 1
Lumezzane 0
TBD -
Ravenna -
Cosenza 1
Casarano 5
TBD -
Renate -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Union Brescia -
Campobasso 1
Pineto 1
TBD -
Potenza -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ascoli -
Juventus U23 0
Pianese 2
Lecco 2
Giana Erminio 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Catania -
1/8-finals
Casertana 3
Salernitana 4
Cittadella 3
Ravenna 3
Casarano 3
Renate 2
TBD -
Union Brescia -
Campobasso 1
Potenza 6
TBD -
Ascoli -
Pianese 2
Lecco 2
TBD -
Catania -
Quarter-finals
Salernitana 4
Ravenna 0
Casarano 0
Union Brescia 3
Potenza 0
Ascoli 1
Lecco 3
Catania 3
Semi-finals
Salernitana 1
Union Brescia 3
Ascoli 5
Catania 2
Final
Union Brescia 1
Ascoli 4
