Sport Picks
Match Events
29'
29'
Bertini M.
45'
45'
Sussi C.
46'
46'
Sub
Capuano M. In: Martella B.
Out: Capuano M.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
24%
35%
41%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ternana
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Ternana lately — more wins on the board than Pianese.
- 41% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Ternana arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Ternana, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Pianese Clean Sheet 21%
Ternana Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pianese | Ternana |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 7 | 10 |
| Draws | 15 | 8 |
| Losses | 7 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 1.32 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 3, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Pianese vs Ternana
1:1
Apr 26, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Ternana vs Pianese
1:3
Dec 21, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Pianese vs Ternana
0:0
Apr 23, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Ternana vs Pianese
2:0
Dec 7, 2024 Serie C - Group B
Pianese vs Ternana
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pianese Compare
Top Goalscorer Coccia L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Ternana Compare
Top Goalscorer Pettinari S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pianese 37 / 100
Ternana 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pianese Ternana
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ternana Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pianese scored in 62% of their last 29 games.
Ternana let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Pianese went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Pianese VS Ternana
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Pianese
(Home) 21 Sept
Pianese
1 : 1 Sambenedettese
16 Sept
Sassari Torres
2 : 1 Pianese
12 Sept
Pianese
0 : 0 Grosseto
05 Sept
Guidonia 1937
1 : 0 Pianese
28 Aug
Pianese
0 : 0 Vado
Page 1 of 6
21 Sept
Pianese
1 : 1 Sambenedettese
12 Sept
Pianese
0 : 0 Grosseto
28 Aug
Pianese
0 : 0 Vado
05 Aug
Pianese
2 : 0 Montevarchi
10 May
Pianese
1 : 1 Lecco
Page 1 of 3
Ternana
(Away) 20 Sept
Ternana
3 : 0 Tau
16 Sept
Mezzolara
2 : 1 Ternana
12 Sept
Ternana
1 : 1 Follonica Gavorrano
06 Sept
Prato
1 : 0 Ternana
03 May
Pianese
1 : 1 Ternana
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Mezzolara
2 : 1 Ternana
06 Sept
Prato
1 : 0 Ternana
03 May
Pianese
1 : 1 Ternana
18 Apr
Bra
1 : 2 Ternana
08 Apr
Juventus U23
2 : 1 Ternana
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Casertana 1
Atalanta U23 0
Crotone 1
Audace Cerignola 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Salernitana -
Cittadella 2
Arzignano 2
Lumezzane 0
Alcione Milano 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ravenna -
Cosenza -
TBD -
Monopoli 0
Casarano 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Renate -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Union Brescia -
Campobasso -
TBD -
Pineto 2
Gubbio 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Potenza -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ascoli -
Juventus U23 2
Vis Pesaro 2
Pianese 1
Ternana 1
Lecco -
TBD -
Trento 1
Giana Erminio 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Catania -
1/16-finals
Casertana 1
Crotone 1
TBD -
Salernitana -
Cittadella 1
Lumezzane 0
TBD -
Ravenna -
Cosenza 1
Casarano 5
TBD -
Renate -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Union Brescia -
Campobasso 1
Pineto 1
TBD -
Potenza -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ascoli -
Juventus U23 0
Pianese 2
Lecco 2
Giana Erminio 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Catania -
1/8-finals
Casertana 3
Salernitana 4
Cittadella 3
Ravenna 3
Casarano 3
Renate 2
TBD -
Union Brescia -
Campobasso 1
Potenza 6
TBD -
Ascoli -
Pianese 2
Lecco 2
TBD -
Catania -
Quarter-finals
Salernitana 4
Ravenna 0
Casarano 0
Union Brescia 3
Potenza 0
Ascoli 1
Lecco 3
Catania 3
Semi-finals
Salernitana 1
Union Brescia 3
Ascoli 5
Catania 2
Final
Union Brescia 1
Ascoli 4
