Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Piast Gliwice vs Rakow Czestochowa

Poland Poland

Ekstraklasa 2025/2026 Stadion Miejski w Gliwicach, Gliwice
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Silva J. C.
20' Event
Bulat M.
25' Event
Pienko T.
Assist: Silva J. C.

AI Match Summary

Rakow Czestochowa in this Ekstraklasa 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rakow Czestochowa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Piast Gliwice
30%
Draws
34%
Rakow Czestochowa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Piast Gliwice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rakow Czestochowa lately — more wins on the board than Piast Gliwice.
  • Win probability leans Piast Gliwice's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Piast Gliwice Clean Sheet 13%
Rakow Czestochowa Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Piast Gliwice Rakow Czestochowa
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 10 13
Draws 5 6
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 0.75 2
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Club Friendly
Rakow Czestochowa vs Piast Gliwice
2:0
May 17, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Piast Gliwice vs Rakow Czestochowa
1:3
Nov 22, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Rakow Czestochowa vs Piast Gliwice
1:3
Mar 8, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Piast Gliwice vs Rakow Czestochowa
0:3
Aug 30, 2024 Ekstraklasa
Rakow Czestochowa vs Piast Gliwice
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Piast Gliwice Compare

Top Goalscorer Dziczek P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Rakow Czestochowa Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva J. C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bulat M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Piast Gliwice 35 / 100
Rakow Czestochowa 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Piast Gliwice Rakow Czestochowa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Piast Gliwice scored in 74% of their last 27 games.

Defensive concern: Rakow Czestochowa conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Piast Gliwice stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Piast Gliwice VS Rakow Czestochowa
0.75 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Piast Gliwice

(Home)
18 Jul
Piast Gliwice
0 : 2
Odra Opole
08 Jul
Piast Gliwice
2 : 2
Legnica
04 Jul
Piast Gliwice
1 : 0
Ostrava
01 Jul
GKS Katowice
0 : 1
Piast Gliwice
27 Jun
Rakow Czestochowa
2 : 0
Piast Gliwice
Page 1 of 6

Rakow Czestochowa

(Away)
23 Jul
Rakow Czestochowa
3 : 1
Valletta
16 Jul
GKS Katowice
1 : 1
Rakow Czestochowa
11 Jul
PSV
3 : 2
Rakow Czestochowa
08 Jul
Olympiacos Piraeus
2 : 1
Rakow Czestochowa
08 Jul
Waregem
4 : 3
Rakow Czestochowa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lech Poznan341612662:4560
2Gornik Zabrze341681050:3856
3Jagiellonia341511856:4156
4Rakow Czestochowa341671151:4055
5GKS Katowice341481251:4550
6Legia341213942:3749
7Zaglebie341391245:3848
8Wisla Plock3412101234:3846
9Pogon Szczecin341361547:4945
10Radomiak Radom3411111252:5344
11Korona Kielce3411101340:4043
12Motor Lublin3410131146:5343
13Cracovia349151039:4242
14Widzew Lodz341261641:4142
15Piast Gliwice341181542:4641
16Lechia Gdansk341271562:6538
17Arka Gdynia34991634:6136
18Termalica Bruk-Bet34971843:6534
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Division 1 (Main)