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Piast Zmigrod vs Carina Gubin

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Wojciechowski T.
40' Event
Wozniak B.
71' Event
Wojciechowski T.

AI Match Summary

Piast Zmigrod in this III Liga - Group III 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Piast Zmigrod.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Piast Zmigrod
6%
Draws
90%
Carina Gubin
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Carina Gubin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Carina Gubin have won more games recently than Piast Zmigrod.
  • Model gives Carina Gubin a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular III Liga - Group III 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Piast Zmigrod Clean Sheet 10%
Carina Gubin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Piast Zmigrod Carina Gubin
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 2 1.13
Goals Conceded 3 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2022 III Liga - Group III
Piast Zmigrod vs Carina Gubin
2:1
Sep 19, 2021 III Liga - Group III
Carina Gubin vs Piast Zmigrod
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Piast Zmigrod Compare

Top Goalscorer Wojciechowski T.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Carina Gubin Compare

Top Goalscorer Wozniak B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Piast Zmigrod 10 / 100
Carina Gubin 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Piast Zmigrod Carina Gubin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Carina Gubin conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Piast Zmigrod's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Carina Gubin lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Piast Zmigrod VS Carina Gubin
2 Goals Scored 1.13
3 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zaglebie II34238386:4277
2Sleza Wroclaw34209583:3769
3Polonia Bytom34205966:3465
4Rekord Bielsko-Biala34188870:4362
5Goczalkowice Zdroj341591047:4154
6Legnica II341571256:6352
7Gornik Zabrze II341561349:4951
8Pniowek Pawlowice3412111155:5547
9Brzeg341441651:4746
10Zielona Gora341291349:4445
11Odra Wodzislaw341271547:6343
12Kluczbork341271555:5743
13Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory349121344:5039
14Carina Gubin341161740:4939
15Warta Gorzow34991641:5436
16Piast Zmigrod341061846:7636
17Karkonosze Jelenia Gora34932240:6930
18LKS Blyskawica Gac34462429:8118