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Picos vs Julho Esporte

Brazil Brazil

Piauiense 2024
Picos Logo

Picos

0 - 1
FT
Julho Esporte Logo

Julho Esporte

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Match Events

35' Event
Luiz Eduardo
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Piauiense 2024 game between Picos and Julho Esporte finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Julho Esporte.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Picos
30%
Draws
23%
Julho Esporte
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Picos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Julho Esporte come out ahead of Picos on wins alone.
  • Model gives Picos a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Piauiense 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Picos Clean Sheet 20%
Julho Esporte Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Picos Julho Esporte
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 6 9
Draws 9 9
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.24 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Piauiense 2
Julho Esporte vs Picos
3:3
Feb 7, 2024 Piauiense
Julho Esporte vs Picos
3:2
Jan 20, 2024 Piauiense
Picos vs Julho Esporte
0:1
May 12, 2021 Piauiense
Picos vs Julho Esporte
0:1
Apr 28, 2021 Piauiense
Julho Esporte vs Picos
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Picos Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Julho Esporte Compare

Top Goalscorer Luiz Eduardo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Picos 85 / 100
Julho Esporte 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Picos Julho Esporte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Picos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Picos scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Julho Esporte's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Picos has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Picos VS Julho Esporte
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Picos

(Home)
19 Sept
Julho Esporte
3 : 3
Picos
15 Sept
Caicara
1 : 5
Picos
12 Sept
Picos
2 : 1
Comercial PI
05 Sept
River-PI
0 : 3
Picos
18 Oct
Corisabba
1 : 0
Picos
Page 1 of 6

Julho Esporte

(Away)
19 Sept
Julho Esporte
3 : 3
Picos
16 Sept
Comercial PI
1 : 1
Julho Esporte
09 Sept
Flamengo PI
1 : 0
Julho Esporte
05 Sept
Julho Esporte
3 : 0
Caicara
02 Mar
AE Altos
4 : 0
Julho Esporte
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 River-PI 6 4 1 1 10:4 13
2 AE Altos 6 3 2 1 7:6 11
3 Julho Esporte 6 2 1 3 6:7 7
4 Picos 6 0 2 4 5:11 2
Promotion - Piauiense 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oeirense 6 4 1 1 6:2 13
2 Parnahyba 6 3 2 1 7:3 11
3 Fluminense-PI 6 2 2 2 8:5 8
4 Corisabba 6 0 1 5 2:13 1
Promotion - Piauiense 2024 (Second stage)