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Picos vs Oeirense

Brazil Brazil

Piauiense 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Welberty Batata
51' Event
Rai
60' Event
Joao Paulo

AI Match Summary

The Piauiense 2024 game between Picos and Oeirense finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Oeirense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Picos
11%
Draws
80%
Oeirense
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Oeirense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Oeirense come out ahead of Picos on wins alone.
  • Model gives Oeirense a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Picos Clean Sheet 19%
Oeirense Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Picos Oeirense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 11
Draws 10 9
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 0.8 1
Goals Conceded 1.6 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.80 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.60 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2024 Piauiense
Oeirense vs Picos
4:1
Feb 24, 2024 Piauiense
Picos vs Oeirense
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Picos Compare

Top Goalscorer Rai
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.4

Oeirense Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Paulo
2 Goals
Assists Leader Welberty Batata
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Picos 12 / 100
Oeirense 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Picos Oeirense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OEI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Picos's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Oeirense conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Picos has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Picos VS Oeirense
0.8 Goals Scored 1
1.6 Goals Conceded 1
60% Over 1.5 63%
60% Over 2.5 38%
40% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Picos

(Home)
18 Oct
Corisabba
1 : 0
Picos
11 Oct
Picos
0 : 0
TEC
04 Oct
Flamengo PI
3 : 0
Picos
01 Oct
Picos
2 : 2
Caicara
27 Sept
Picos
2 : 2
Comercial PI
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Oeirense

(Away)
22 Feb
Oeirense
0 : 0
AE Altos
13 Feb
Piaui
2 : 1
Oeirense
08 Feb
Parnahyba
1 : 2
Oeirense
31 Jan
Oeirense
3 : 1
Corisabba
23 Jan
TEC
1 : 0
Oeirense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1River-PI861117:619
2Oeirense861113:419
3AE Altos852112:717
4Parnahyba843110:415
5Fluminense-PI82249:108
6Julho Esporte82247:108
7Picos80267:182
8Corisabba80174:201
Promotion - Piauiense 2024 (Play Offs)