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Picos vs Oeirense

Brazil Brazil

Piauiense 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Welberty Batata
51' Event
Rai
60' Event
Joao Paulo

AI Match Summary

The Piauiense 2024 game between Picos and Oeirense finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Oeirense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Picos
20%
Draws
33%
Oeirense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Picos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Oeirense come out ahead of Picos on wins alone.
  • Model gives Picos a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Picos Clean Sheet 19%
Oeirense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Picos Oeirense
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 11
Draws 9 9
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.24 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.62 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2024 Piauiense
Oeirense vs Picos
4:1
Feb 24, 2024 Piauiense
Picos vs Oeirense
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Picos Compare

Top Goalscorer Rai
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Oeirense Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Paulo
2 Goals
Assists Leader Welberty Batata
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Picos 67 / 100
Oeirense 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Picos Oeirense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Picos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Picos's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Oeirense conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Picos has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Picos VS Oeirense
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Picos

(Home)
19 Sept
Julho Esporte
3 : 3
Picos
15 Sept
Caicara
1 : 5
Picos
12 Sept
Picos
2 : 1
Comercial PI
05 Sept
River-PI
0 : 3
Picos
18 Oct
Corisabba
1 : 0
Picos
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Oeirense

(Away)
22 Feb
Oeirense
0 : 0
AE Altos
13 Feb
Piaui
2 : 1
Oeirense
08 Feb
Parnahyba
1 : 2
Oeirense
31 Jan
Oeirense
3 : 1
Corisabba
23 Jan
TEC
1 : 0
Oeirense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 River-PI 8 6 1 1 17:6 19
2 Oeirense 8 6 1 1 13:4 19
3 AE Altos 8 5 2 1 12:7 17
4 Parnahyba 8 4 3 1 10:4 15
5 Fluminense-PI 8 2 2 4 9:10 8
6 Julho Esporte 8 2 2 4 7:10 8
7 Picos 8 0 2 6 7:18 2
8 Corisabba 8 0 1 7 4:20 1
Promotion - Piauiense 2024 (Play Offs)