Sport Picks
Match Events
6'
6'
Pisani N.
44'
44'
Arthur
54'
54'
Bio E.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 5-0, with Pieta advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pieta
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Pieta come out ahead of Mtarfa on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Pieta's way, sitting at 90%.
- Pieta have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Pieta, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Pieta have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Pieta Clean Sheet 68%
Mtarfa Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pieta | Mtarfa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 5 |
| Draws | 6 | 2 |
| Losses | 9 | 23 |
| Goals Scored | 1.88 | 0 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 4.5 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 4.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 8, 2026 Challenge League
Mtarfa vs Pieta
0:6
Jan 4, 2026 FA Trophy
Pieta vs Mtarfa
5:0
Dec 15, 2024 Challenge League
Mtarfa vs Pieta
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pieta Compare
Top Goalscorer Arthur
2 Goals Assists Leader Pisani N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Mtarfa Compare
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pieta 95 / 100
Mtarfa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pieta Mtarfa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick PIE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pieta found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (31 games).
Mtarfa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.
H2H data points to 4.33 goals as a typical output.
Mtarfa's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Pieta VS Mtarfa
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 4.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Pieta
(Home) 19 Apr
Pieta
2 : 2 St. Andrews
12 Apr
Sirens
3 : 4 Pieta
04 Apr
Fgura
0 : 4 Pieta
17 Mar
Pieta
0 : 1 Melita
14 Mar
Birzebbuga
2 : 2 Pieta
Page 1 of 7
19 Apr
Pieta
2 : 2 St. Andrews
17 Mar
Pieta
0 : 1 Melita
08 Mar
Pieta
1 : 0 Melita
28 Feb
Pieta
1 : 3 Balzan FC
22 Feb
Pieta
1 : 3 Swieqi
Page 1 of 4
Mtarfa
(Away) 19 Apr
Mtarfa
1 : 5 Santa Lucia
11 Apr
Marsa
5 : 0 Mtarfa
01 Apr
Mtarfa
0 : 1 Vittoriosa
15 Mar
Gudja
3 : 0 Mtarfa
07 Mar
Mtarfa
0 : 2 Zurrieq
Page 1 of 6
11 Apr
Marsa
5 : 0 Mtarfa
15 Mar
Gudja
3 : 0 Mtarfa
01 Mar
Zebbug
6 : 0 Mtarfa
21 Feb
Mgarr
5 : 0 Mtarfa
31 Jan
Swieqi
8 : 0 Mtarfa
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Tarxien -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghajnsielem -
Pembroke -
TBD -
TBD -
Valletta -
Hamrun -
TBD -
Victoria Hotspurs 3
Xaghra 1
Fgura -
TBD -
Sirens 1
Santa Lucia 2
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
Victoria Wanderers -
Pieta -
TBD -
TBD -
Mtarfa -
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsaxlokk -
Zabbar -
TBD -
Melita 0
Xewkija 1
St. Andrews 3
Vittoriosa 0
TBD -
Gzira -
Hibernians -
TBD -
TBD -
Gudja -
Zebbug 0
Qala Saints 5
TBD -
Mgarr -
Mosta FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Mqabba FC -
Zurrieq -
TBD -
TBD -
Kercem Ajax -
Qormi 1
Balzan FC 4
Nadur 1
Birzebbuga 4
Sliema -
TBD -
TBD -
Swieqi -
Marsa -
TBD -
TBD -
Naxxar Lions -
1/16-finals
Tarxien 4
Ghajnsielem 0
Pembroke 0
Valletta 1
Hamrun 5
Victoria Hotspurs 0
Fgura 2
Santa Lucia 1
Birkirkara 3
Victoria Wanderers 1
Pieta 5
Mtarfa 0
Floriana 1
Marsaxlokk 0
Zabbar 1
Xewkija 0
St. Andrews 0
Gzira 2
Hibernians 3
Gudja 1
Qala Saints 0
Mgarr 2
Mosta FC 2
Mqabba FC 1
Zurrieq 4
Kercem Ajax 0
Balzan FC 1
Birzebbuga 2
Sliema 1
Swieqi 2
Marsa 0
Naxxar Lions 3
1/8-finals
Tarxien 0
Valletta 1
Hamrun 5
Fgura 0
Birkirkara 2
Pieta 0
Floriana 0
Zabbar 1
Gzira 3
Hibernians 2
Mgarr 0
Mosta FC 3
Zurrieq 3
Birzebbuga 0
Swieqi 2
Naxxar Lions 4
Quarter-finals
Valletta 3
Hamrun 1
Birkirkara 2
Zabbar 1
Gzira 2
Mosta FC 1
Zurrieq 1
Naxxar Lions 2
Semi-finals
Valletta 3
Birkirkara 1
Gzira 2
Naxxar Lions 1
Final
Valletta 2
Gzira 1
