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Pikine vs AJEL

Senegal Senegal

Ligue 1 2025/2026
Pikine Logo

Pikine

0 - 2
FT
AJEL Logo

AJEL

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between Pikine and AJEL finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AJEL.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Pikine
30%
Draws
58%
AJEL
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AJEL

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AJEL come out ahead of Pikine on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors AJEL here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 20.8%
Pikine Clean Sheet 32%
AJEL Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pikine AJEL
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 15
Draws 13 9
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 0.67 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Ligue 1
Pikine vs AJEL
0:2
Nov 8, 2025 Ligue 1
AJEL vs Pikine
1:0
Mar 16, 2025 Ligue 1
Pikine vs AJEL
0:1
Nov 3, 2024 Ligue 1
AJEL vs Pikine
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pikine 34 / 100
AJEL 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pikine AJEL

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AJEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pikine's goal record stands at 40% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: AJEL conceded in 43% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Pikine went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pikine VS AJEL
1 Goals Scored 0.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 1
25% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pikine

(Home)
04 Jun
ASC HLM
2 : 1
Pikine
22 May
Pikine
1 : 2
AS Camberene
17 May
Casa
1 : 0
Pikine
13 May
Pikine
0 : 0
ASC Jaraaf
10 May
Pikine
0 : 0
Dakar Sacre-Coeur
Page 1 of 6

AJEL

(Away)
04 Jun
Generation Foot
0 : 1
AJEL
22 May
AJEL
2 : 1
Linguere
17 May
US Goree
2 : 1
AJEL
13 May
AJEL
1 : 0
Guediawaye
10 May
Teungueth
0 : 0
AJEL
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teungueth 30 13 15 2 21:6 54
2 AJEL 30 15 9 6 27:19 54
3 Generation Foot 30 13 9 8 37:22 48
4 US Goree 30 11 15 4 29:14 48
5 Wally Daan 30 10 14 6 29:24 44
6 Ouakam 30 8 18 4 23:16 42
7 ASC Jaraaf 30 9 14 7 21:16 41
8 Casa 30 7 19 4 29:20 40
9 Pikine 30 7 13 10 20:19 34
10 Mbour 30 5 18 7 18:21 33
11 ASC HLM 30 5 18 7 18:24 33
12 Dakar Sacre-Coeur 30 5 16 9 24:37 31
13 Guediawaye 30 7 8 15 29:34 28
14 Linguere 30 3 16 11 22:36 25
15 Sonacos 30 4 13 13 18:39 25
16 AS Camberene 30 3 15 12 16:34 24
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)