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Pilica Bialobrzegi vs Victoria Sulejowek

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Kazimierczak A.
43' Event
Wilanowski M.
48' Event
Lawcewicz-Musialik S.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group I 2023/2024 game between Pilica Bialobrzegi and Victoria Sulejowek finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Victoria Sulejowek.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Pilica Bialobrzegi
6%
Draws
90%
Victoria Sulejowek
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Victoria Sulejowek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Victoria Sulejowek come out ahead of Pilica Bialobrzegi on wins alone.
  • Model gives Victoria Sulejowek a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Pilica Bialobrzegi Clean Sheet 10%
Victoria Sulejowek Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pilica Bialobrzegi Victoria Sulejowek
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 4 13
Draws 5 7
Losses 21 16
Goals Scored 0 1.38
Goals Conceded 4 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.00 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Pilica Bialobrzegi vs Victoria Sulejowek
1:3
Aug 6, 2023 III Liga - Group I
Victoria Sulejowek vs Pilica Bialobrzegi
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pilica Bialobrzegi Compare

Top Goalscorer Kazimierczak A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Victoria Sulejowek Compare

Top Goalscorer Wilanowski M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lawcewicz-Musialik S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pilica Bialobrzegi 10 / 100
Victoria Sulejowek 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pilica Bialobrzegi Victoria Sulejowek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SUL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Pilica Bialobrzegi scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Victoria Sulejowek conceded in 75% of 36 recent games.

Victoria Sulejowek lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pilica Bialobrzegi VS Victoria Sulejowek
0 Goals Scored 1.38
4 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki342374106:3276
2Unia Skierniewice34198778:4665
3Legia II34198770:4065
4Swit Mazowiecki341511870:5256
5GKS Belchatow341681058:4956
6Tomaszow Mazowiecki341581166:5453
7Pelikan341571252:4052
8LKS Lomza341461452:5148
9Bron Radom3412121039:4348
10Warta Sieradz341351643:4844
11GKS Wikielec3411101337:4643
12MKS Mlawa341191443:5042
13Jagiellonia II341261648:5842
14Victoria Sulejowek341181541:4841
15Olimpia Zambrow3410101452:4840
16Concordia Elblag34862037:9830
17Legionowo34762141:7127
18Pilica Bialobrzegi34472330:8919