Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pinar del Rio vs FC La Habana

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga Nacional matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Pinar del Rio
22%
Draws
60%
FC La Habana
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: FC La Habana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC La Habana lately — more wins on the board than Pinar del Rio.
  • FC La Habana are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Pinar del Rio Clean Sheet 19%
FC La Habana Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pinar del Rio FC La Habana
Matches Played 26 36
Wins 6 19
Draws 9 9
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 0.63 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2025 Liga Nacional
Pinar del Rio vs FC La Habana
2:2
May 10, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC La Habana vs Pinar del Rio
1:0
Apr 19, 2025 Liga Nacional
Pinar del Rio vs FC La Habana
0:0
Mar 15, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC La Habana vs Pinar del Rio
3:0
Mar 1, 2023 Liga Nacional
FC La Habana vs Pinar del Rio
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pinar del Rio 20 / 100
FC La Habana 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pinar del Rio FC La Habana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FCL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Pinar del Rio scored in 69% of their last 26 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: FC La Habana conceded in 58% of 36 recent games.

Pinar del Rio went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pinar del Rio VS FC La Habana
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pinar del Rio

(Home)
14 Jun
Pinar del Rio
2 : 2
FC La Habana
07 Jun
Artemisa
2 : 1
Pinar del Rio
17 May
Pinar del Rio
0 : 0
Artemisa
10 May
FC La Habana
1 : 0
Pinar del Rio
03 May
Pinar del Rio
0 : 1
Isla de La Juventud
Page 1 of 6

FC La Habana

(Away)
12 Jul
FC Guantanamo
0 : 1
FC La Habana
21 Jun
FC La Habana
3 : 1
Isla de La Juventud
14 Jun
Pinar del Rio
2 : 2
FC La Habana
28 May
FC La Habana
5 : 2
Artemisa
17 May
Isla de La Juventud
3 : 0
FC La Habana
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League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC La Habana1173121:1224
2Artemisa1244418:1916
3Isla de La Juventud1132610:1611
4Pinar del Rio1023511:139
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Cienfuegos1264220:1122
2FC Villa Clara1264216:722
3Matanzas1233610:1312
4Mayabeque Guines1223711:269
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Las Tunas1271420:1322
2FC Ciego de Avila1262416:920
3FC Camaguey1152417:1417
4FC Sancti Spiritus111373:206
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Guantanamo1283125:627
2FC Santiago de Cuba1143412:1115
3FC Holguin1234512:1913
4CF Granma112279:228
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)