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Pinerolo vs Chisola

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Rizq K.
(Penalty)
83' Event
La Marca M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 game between Pinerolo and Chisola finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chisola.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Pinerolo
35%
Draws
45%
Chisola
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Chisola

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chisola come out ahead of Pinerolo on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Pinerolo Clean Sheet 21%
Chisola Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pinerolo Chisola
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 5 16
Draws 11 5
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.57 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Pinerolo vs Chisola
0:2
Sep 20, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Chisola vs Pinerolo
1:0
Mar 12, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Pinerolo vs Chisola
0:0
Nov 6, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Chisola vs Pinerolo
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pinerolo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Chisola Compare

Top Goalscorer La Marca M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pinerolo 37 / 100
Chisola 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pinerolo Chisola

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chisola Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chisola let in goals in 73% of their last 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Pinerolo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Pinerolo scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Chisola
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pinerolo

(Home)
12 May
AC Chieri
0 : 0
Pinerolo
05 May
Pinerolo
0 : 2
Alba
28 Apr
Sanremese
0 : 0
Pinerolo
21 Apr
Pinerolo
1 : 1
Ligorna
14 Apr
Varese FC
1 : 1
Pinerolo
Page 1 of 6

Chisola

(Away)
16 Sept
Chisola
1 : 0
Sanremese
13 Sept
Fezzanese
2 : 0
Chisola
10 May
Ligorna
1 : 0
Chisola
03 May
Valenzana
2 : 3
Chisola
26 Apr
Chisola
4 : 2
Lavagnese
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alcione Milano 38 23 10 5 70:27 79
2 Chisola 38 21 9 8 64:37 72
3 Varese FC 38 18 12 8 49:33 66
4 Vado 38 17 14 7 51:28 65
5 NovaRomentin 38 18 11 9 58:38 65
6 Bra 38 18 11 9 47:30 65
7 Ligorna 38 17 12 9 44:37 63
8 Asti Calcio 38 16 11 11 42:33 59
9 Albenga 38 15 15 8 51:33 58
10 Sanremese 38 13 13 12 34:33 52
11 Fezzanese 38 14 9 15 42:50 51
12 Gozzano 38 10 15 13 35:38 45
13 Lavagnese 38 11 11 16 46:47 44
14 Vogherese 38 10 12 16 42:57 42
15 Derthona FbC 38 9 14 15 34:52 41
16 AC Chieri 38 8 15 15 39:52 39
17 Pinerolo 38 8 13 17 25:44 37
18 Alba 38 10 7 21 39:63 37
19 PDHA 38 5 7 26 25:63 22
20 Borgosesia Calcio 38 5 7 26 25:67 22
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Out)