Sport Picks
Match Events
15'
15'
D'Orazio A.
46'
46'
Miracoli L.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 game between Pinerolo and Ligorna finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
24%
35%
41%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ligorna
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Ligorna carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Ligorna's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Pinerolo Clean Sheet 19%
Ligorna Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pinerolo | Ligorna |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 40 |
| Wins | 5 | 24 |
| Draws | 11 | 10 |
| Losses | 14 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.57 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 21, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Pinerolo vs Ligorna
1:1
Dec 10, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Ligorna vs Pinerolo
3:0
Apr 30, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Pinerolo vs Ligorna
0:1
Dec 17, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Ligorna vs Pinerolo
0:0
Jan 31, 2016 Serie D - Group A
Ligorna vs Pinerolo
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pinerolo Compare
Top Goalscorer D'Orazio A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52
Ligorna Compare
Top Goalscorer Miracoli L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pinerolo 28 / 100
Ligorna 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pinerolo Ligorna
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ligorna Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ligorna's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 40 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Pinerolo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Pinerolo scored in 43% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Ligorna
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Pinerolo
(Home) 12 May
AC Chieri
0 : 0 Pinerolo
05 May
Pinerolo
0 : 2 Alba
28 Apr
Sanremese
0 : 0 Pinerolo
21 Apr
Pinerolo
1 : 1 Ligorna
14 Apr
Varese FC
1 : 1 Pinerolo
Page 1 of 6
05 May
Pinerolo
0 : 2 Alba
21 Apr
Pinerolo
1 : 1 Ligorna
07 Apr
Pinerolo
0 : 2 Fezzanese
23 Mar
Pinerolo
0 : 1 NovaRomentin
10 Mar
Pinerolo
0 : 0 Asti Calcio
Page 1 of 3
Ligorna
(Away) 20 Sept
Celle Varazze
0 : 2 Ligorna
16 Sept
Ligorna
2 : 3 Derthona FbC
13 Sept
AS Biellese
3 : 1 Ligorna
06 Sept
Ligorna
2 : 2 Sanremese
17 May
Ligorna
5 : 3 Varese FC
Page 1 of 8
20 Sept
Celle Varazze
0 : 2 Ligorna
13 Sept
AS Biellese
3 : 1 Ligorna
26 Apr
Asti Calcio
1 : 1 Ligorna
12 Apr
Chisola
0 : 0 Ligorna
29 Mar
Valenzana
1 : 0 Ligorna
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alcione Milano | 38 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 70:27 | 79 |
| 2 | Chisola | 38 | 21 | 9 | 8 | 64:37 | 72 |
| 3 | Varese FC | 38 | 18 | 12 | 8 | 49:33 | 66 |
| 4 | Vado | 38 | 17 | 14 | 7 | 51:28 | 65 |
| 5 | NovaRomentin | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 58:38 | 65 |
| 6 | Bra | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 47:30 | 65 |
| 7 | Ligorna | 38 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 44:37 | 63 |
| 8 | Asti Calcio | 38 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 42:33 | 59 |
| 9 | Albenga | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 51:33 | 58 |
| 10 | Sanremese | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 34:33 | 52 |
| 11 | Fezzanese | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 42:50 | 51 |
| 12 | Gozzano | 38 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 35:38 | 45 |
| 13 | Lavagnese | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 46:47 | 44 |
| 14 | Vogherese | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 42:57 | 42 |
| 15 | Derthona FbC | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 34:52 | 41 |
| 16 | AC Chieri | 38 | 8 | 15 | 15 | 39:52 | 39 |
| 17 | Pinerolo | 38 | 8 | 13 | 17 | 25:44 | 37 |
| 18 | Alba | 38 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 39:63 | 37 |
| 19 | PDHA | 38 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 25:63 | 22 |
| 20 | Borgosesia Calcio | 38 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 25:67 | 22 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Out)
