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Pineto vs Monticelli

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2017/2018
Pineto Logo

Pineto

2 - 1
FT
Monticelli Logo

Monticelli

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Pineto in this Serie D - Group F 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pineto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Pineto
35%
Draws
35%
Monticelli
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Pineto have won more games recently than Monticelli.
  • Win probability leans Pineto's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Pineto Clean Sheet 68%
Monticelli Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pineto Monticelli
Matches Played 40 30
Wins 15 5
Draws 11 13
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.2 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2018 Serie D - Group F
Pineto vs Monticelli
2:1
Oct 22, 2017 Serie D - Group F
Monticelli vs Pineto
2:2
Apr 23, 2017 Serie D - Group F
Pineto vs Monticelli
1:3
Dec 8, 2016 Serie D - Group F
Monticelli vs Pineto
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pineto 77 / 100
Monticelli 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pineto Monticelli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pineto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Pineto scored in 68% of their last 40 outings.

Monticelli's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Pineto stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pineto VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pineto

(Home)
16 Sept
Pineto
1 : 1
Forli FC
12 Sept
Pineto
2 : 1
Sambenedettese
06 Sept
Perugia
2 : 1
Pineto
29 Aug
Pineto
0 : 0
Livorno
23 Aug
Latina
0 : 0
Pineto
Page 1 of 8

Monticelli

(Away)
06 May
ASD Francavilla
2 : 1
Monticelli
29 Apr
Monticelli
1 : 0
Castelfidardo
22 Apr
Agnonese
6 : 0
Monticelli
15 Apr
Monticelli
1 : 1
Nerostellati Pratola
08 Apr
Fabriano Cerreto
1 : 2
Monticelli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vis Pesaro 34 23 4 7 61:29 73
2 Matelica 34 22 5 7 66:28 71
3 Avezzano 34 16 14 4 51:26 62
4 Pineto 34 15 12 7 53:41 57
5 Aquila Calcio 34 15 10 9 57:40 55
6 ASD Francavilla 34 14 11 9 47:38 53
7 San Marino Calcio 34 15 6 13 45:35 51
8 Vastese 34 15 6 13 55:50 51
9 Sangiustese 34 13 9 12 39:41 48
10 Campobasso 34 13 10 11 41:40 45
11 Castelfidardo 34 12 8 14 43:54 44
12 Recanatese 34 12 7 15 47:47 43
13 Agnonese 34 11 8 15 34:35 41
14 Notaresco Calcio 34 11 7 16 42:51 40
15 Jesina 34 8 10 16 32:46 34
16 Monticelli 34 5 15 14 25:45 30
17 Fabriano Cerreto 34 5 5 24 29:69 20
18 Nerostellati Pratola 34 3 9 22 19:71 18
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2017/2018 (Play Offs)