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Pirae vs AS Dragon

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Tetauira T.
16' Event
Bourebare H.
41' Event
Tetauira T.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 7-3, with Pirae advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Pirae
15%
Draws
36%
AS Dragon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pirae

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • AS Dragon haven't matched Pirae's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Pirae's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Pirae have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Pirae, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Pirae Clean Sheet 14%
AS Dragon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pirae AS Dragon
Matches Played 30 21
Wins 13 6
Draws 5 3
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 2.2 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.9 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 3.31 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2023 OFC Champions League
Pirae vs AS Dragon
7:3
Feb 18, 2023 OFC Champions League
AS Dragon vs Pirae
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pirae Compare

Top Goalscorer Tetauira T.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Bourebare H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.55
Avg xA / game 1.66

AS Dragon Compare

Top Goalscorer Tinirauarii R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kat G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pirae 84 / 100
AS Dragon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pirae AS Dragon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pirae Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AS Dragon has conceded goals in 86% of their last 21 outings.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Pirae scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

AS Dragon's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Pirae VS AS Dragon
2.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 4.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Pirae

(Home)
15 Nov
Carnoux F.C.
5 : 1
Pirae
05 Apr
Pirae
1 : 1
Tiga Sport
02 Apr
Rewa
0 : 1
Pirae
30 Mar
Auckland City
1 : 0
Pirae
25 May
Auckland City
4 : 0
Pirae
Page 1 of 6

AS Dragon

(Away)
30 Nov
SU Dives
6 : 1
AS Dragon
17 Nov
AS Dragon
3 : 2
Avranches
25 Feb
Pirae
7 : 3
AS Dragon
18 Feb
AS Dragon
0 : 2
Pirae
18 Nov
Versailles
2 : 0
AS Dragon
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Suva 3
Rewa 2
Hienghene Sport 1
Tiga Sport 5
Wellington Olympic 4
Auckland City 6
PNG Hekari 4
Lae City 1
Kossa 2
Solomon Warriors 3
AS Dragon 3
Pirae 9
Sia-Raga 0
Ifira Blackbird 4