Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Piratas vs Atletico La Paz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga de Expansion MX Estadio Luis "Pirata" Fuente, Boca del Río
Our Tip

Match Events

37'
Sub
Robles C. In: Del Aguila Y.
Out: Robles C.
46'
Sub
Gonzalez R. In: Soto O.
Out: Gonzalez R.
46'
Sub
Fernandez C. In: Garcia F.
Out: Fernandez C.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Piratas
35%
Draws
36%
Atletico La Paz
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Atletico La Paz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atletico La Paz come out ahead of Piratas on wins alone.
  • Piratas are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Atletico La Paz arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Piratas Clean Sheet 10%
Atletico La Paz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Piratas Atletico La Paz
Matches Played 17 28
Wins 7 13
Draws 6 9
Losses 4 6
Goals Scored 1.71 2.04
Goals Conceded 1 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Atletico La Paz vs Piratas
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Piratas Compare

Top Goalscorer Lajud Martinez D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Atletico La Paz Compare

Top Goalscorer Barragan M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Piratas 34 / 100
Atletico La Paz 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Piratas Atletico La Paz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Piratas stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Piratas's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 17 recent games.

Atletico La Paz has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Piratas VS Atletico La Paz
2.25 Goals Scored 2.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Piratas

(Home)
09 Nov
Piratas
1 : 1
Cancun
06 Nov
Cancun
1 : 1
Piratas
01 Nov
Piratas
1 : 1
Tapatio
25 Oct
Dorados de Sinaloa
0 : 5
Piratas
18 Oct
Piratas
3 : 0
Tepatitlan de Morelos
Page 1 of 4

Atletico La Paz

(Away)
08 Nov
Atletico La Paz
3 : 3
Tlaxcala
05 Nov
Tlaxcala
0 : 1
Atletico La Paz
31 Oct
Atletico La Paz
3 : 0
Dorados de Sinaloa
25 Oct
Jaiba Brava
1 : 3
Atletico La Paz
17 Oct
Atletico La Paz
2 : 2
Tlaxcala
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Atletico La Paz 4
Tlaxcala 3
Piratas 2
Cancun 2
Leones Negros 2
Alacranes de Durango 2
Club Atletico Morelia 4
Venados FC 2
Semi-finals
Atletico La Paz 1
Piratas 1
Leones Negros -
Club Atletico Morelia -
Final
TBD -
TBD -