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Piratas vs Cancun - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga de Expansion MX Estadio Luis "Pirata" Fuente, Boca del Río
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Garcia U.
27'
Sub
Lopez G. In: Palomares R.
Out: Lopez G.
33' Event
Trejo C.

AI Match Summary

Cancun in this Liga de Expansion MX matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cancun.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Piratas
30%
Draws
37%
Cancun
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cancun

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Cancun have won more games recently than Piratas.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Piratas taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Piratas Clean Sheet 13%
Cancun Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Piratas Cancun
Matches Played 15 29
Wins 7 12
Draws 4 9
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 1.8 1.59
Goals Conceded 1 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Piratas vs Cancun
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Piratas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Cancun Compare

Top Goalscorer Trejo C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Piratas 40 / 100
Cancun 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Piratas Cancun

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Piratas scored in 73% of their last 15 games.

Cancun has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Piratas stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Piratas VS Cancun
2.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Piratas

(Home)
01 Nov
Piratas
1 : 1
Tapatio
25 Oct
Dorados de Sinaloa
0 : 5
Piratas
18 Oct
Piratas
3 : 0
Tepatitlan de Morelos
10 Oct
Tlaxcala
4 : 2
Piratas
04 Oct
Piratas
4 : 0
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Page 1 of 3

Cancun

(Away)
01 Nov
Cancun
2 : 0
Jaiba Brava
24 Oct
Tepatitlan de Morelos
0 : 4
Cancun
18 Oct
Cancun
1 : 1
Venados FC
11 Oct
Zacatecas Mineros
2 : 2
Cancun
04 Oct
Cancun
1 : 0
Tapatio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico La Paz 15 9 3 3 36:18 30
2 Leones Negros 15 9 3 3 34:20 30
3 Club Atletico Morelia 15 8 2 5 26:19 26
4 Piratas 15 7 4 4 27:15 25
5 Cancun 15 7 4 4 28:18 25
6 Venados FC 15 7 4 4 31:25 25
7 Alacranes de Durango 15 7 3 5 21:15 24
8 Tlaxcala 15 6 4 5 29:27 22
9 Alebrijes de Oaxaca 15 7 1 7 15:25 22
10 Zacatecas Mineros 15 5 3 7 26:26 18
11 Tapatio 15 5 3 7 25:28 18
12 Correcaminos 15 4 5 6 21:24 17
13 Dorados de Sinaloa 15 4 4 7 23:32 16
14 Jaiba Brava 15 4 3 8 15:25 15
15 Cruz Azul Hidalgo 15 3 5 7 17:24 14
16 Tepatitlan de Morelos 15 2 1 12 11:44 7
Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Play Offs)