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Piratas vs Cancun - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga de Expansion MX Estadio Luis "Pirata" Fuente, Boca del Río
Mon, Nov 9, 2026
VS
01:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Cancun have shipped 1.34 goals a game lately, while Piratas have conceded 1 and scored 1.8. Head-to-head, Piratas have won 0 to Cancun's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 23, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 1.69) point toward Cancun. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Piratas
30%
Draws
37%
Cancun
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cancun

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Cancun carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Piratas's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Cancun arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Cancun, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Piratas Clean Sheet 13%
Cancun Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Piratas Cancun
Matches Played 15 29
Wins 7 12
Draws 4 9
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 1.8 1.59
Goals Conceded 1 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Piratas vs Cancun
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Piratas 40 / 100
Cancun 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Piratas Cancun

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Piratas scored in 73% of their last 15 games.

Cancun has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Piratas remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Piratas VS Cancun
2.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Piratas

(Home)
01 Nov
Piratas
1 : 1
Tapatio
25 Oct
Dorados de Sinaloa
0 : 5
Piratas
18 Oct
Piratas
3 : 0
Tepatitlan de Morelos
10 Oct
Tlaxcala
4 : 2
Piratas
04 Oct
Piratas
4 : 0
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Page 1 of 3

Cancun

(Away)
01 Nov
Cancun
2 : 0
Jaiba Brava
24 Oct
Tepatitlan de Morelos
0 : 4
Cancun
18 Oct
Cancun
1 : 1
Venados FC
11 Oct
Zacatecas Mineros
2 : 2
Cancun
04 Oct
Cancun
1 : 0
Tapatio
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Atletico La Paz -
Tlaxcala -
Piratas -
Cancun -
Leones Negros -
Alacranes de Durango -
Club Atletico Morelia -
Venados FC -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -