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Pires do Rio vs Itumbiara

Brazil Brazil

Goiano 3 2025
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AI Match Summary

The Goiano 3 2025 game between Pires do Rio and Itumbiara finished 10-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pires do Rio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Pires do Rio
15%
Draws
36%
Itumbiara
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pires do Rio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Itumbiara carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Pires do Rio a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Goiano 3 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Pires do Rio Clean Sheet 68%
Itumbiara Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pires do Rio Itumbiara
Matches Played 17 31
Wins 2 9
Draws 3 5
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.18 1.16
Goals Conceded 3.06 2.45
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 9, 2025 Goiano 3
Pires do Rio vs Itumbiara
10:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pires do Rio 95 / 100
Itumbiara 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pires do Rio Itumbiara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pires do Rio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itumbiara's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 12.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Itumbiara registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Pires do Rio's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 17 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Pires do Rio VS Itumbiara
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 4.25
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Pires do Rio

(Home)
15 Nov
ABD FC
3 : 0
Pires do Rio
09 Nov
Pires do Rio
10 : 2
Itumbiara
01 Nov
Sao Luis
3 : 0
Pires do Rio
26 Oct
Pires do Rio
1 : 4
Bom Jesus
18 Oct
Aparecida EC
0 : 0
Pires do Rio
Page 1 of 4

Itumbiara

(Away)
15 Nov
Itumbiara
2 : 1
Rioverdense
09 Nov
Pires do Rio
10 : 2
Itumbiara
02 Nov
Itumbiara
0 : 8
Bom Jesus
24 Oct
ABD FC
7 : 0
Itumbiara
19 Oct
Itumbiara
2 : 4
Santa Helena
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bom Jesus 11 9 2 0 33:5 29
2 Mineiros 11 9 0 2 23:6 27
3 Sao Luis 11 7 4 0 17:3 25
4 ABD FC 11 7 2 2 31:4 23
5 America GO 11 6 3 2 17:9 21
6 Guanabara City 11 6 1 4 22:13 19
7 Santa Helena 11 3 3 5 17:18 12
8 Aparecida EC 11 2 3 6 11:12 9
9 Pires do Rio 11 2 3 6 15:22 9
10 Associacao Esportiva Evangelica (ASEEV) 11 2 1 8 10:34 7
11 Rioverdense 11 1 0 10 7:40 3
12 Itumbiara 11 1 0 10 9:46 3
Promotion - Goiano 2 (Main)