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Platense vs Lobos UPNFM - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Honduras Honduras

Liga Nacional Estadio Excelsior, Puerto Cortes
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Hinestroza Y.
23' Event
Carter D.
26'
Sub
Arriola Y. In: Portillo A.
Out: Arriola Y.

AI Match Summary

Lobos UPNFM in this Liga Nacional matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lobos UPNFM.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Platense
20%
Draws
58%
Lobos UPNFM
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lobos UPNFM

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lobos UPNFM lately — more wins on the board than Platense.
  • Model gives Lobos UPNFM a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Platense Clean Sheet 11%
Lobos UPNFM Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Platense Lobos UPNFM
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 9
Draws 5 7
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.21 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Liga Nacional
Platense vs Lobos UPNFM
0:2
Apr 19, 2026 Liga Nacional
Platense vs Lobos UPNFM
4:1
Feb 26, 2026 Liga Nacional
Lobos UPNFM vs Platense
1:0
Oct 18, 2025 Liga Nacional
Lobos UPNFM vs Platense
1:1
Aug 10, 2025 Liga Nacional
Platense vs Lobos UPNFM
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Platense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Lobos UPNFM Compare

Top Goalscorer Carter D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Elvir S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Platense 10 / 100
Lobos UPNFM 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Platense Lobos UPNFM

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lobos UPNFM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Platense scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Lobos UPNFM has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Platense remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Platense VS Lobos UPNFM
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Platense

(Home)
02 Nov
Olancho
4 : 1
Platense
24 Oct
Real Espana
4 : 3
Platense
17 Oct
Platense
0 : 2
Motagua
09 Oct
Platense
2 : 1
Juticalpa
18 Sept
Platense
0 : 2
Lobos UPNFM
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Lobos UPNFM

(Away)
04 Nov
Olancho
0 : 0
Lobos UPNFM
31 Oct
Lobos UPNFM
4 : 3
Genesis FC
25 Oct
Lobos UPNFM
0 : 1
Olimpia
18 Oct
Atletico Independiente
0 : 4
Lobos UPNFM
11 Oct
Lobos UPNFM
0 : 0
Marathon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia 13 10 2 1 34:8 32
2 Motagua 13 9 1 3 21:10 28
3 Real Espana 12 8 3 1 22:10 27
4 Marathon 12 6 4 2 18:11 22
5 Olancho 13 3 8 2 15:12 17
6 Lobos UPNFM 13 4 4 5 15:16 16
7 Estrella 13 4 4 5 22:24 16
8 CD Choloma 12 4 1 7 12:15 13
9 Genesis FC 12 3 2 7 15:16 11
10 Atletico Independiente 12 2 5 5 11:21 11
11 Platense 12 2 2 8 12:29 8
12 Juticalpa 13 2 0 11 11:36 6
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga Nacional (Relegation)