Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Plymouth Parkway vs North Leigh

England England

Southern League South Division 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
McDonagh C.
90' Event
Williams M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Southern League South Division 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Plymouth Parkway
6%
Draws
4%
North Leigh
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Plymouth Parkway

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Plymouth Parkway lately — more wins on the board than North Leigh.
  • Plymouth Parkway are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Plymouth Parkway here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Plymouth Parkway Clean Sheet 15%
North Leigh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Plymouth Parkway North Leigh
Matches Played 35 28
Wins 14 8
Draws 6 4
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.5 0
Goals Conceded 2.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2023 Southern League Premier South
Plymouth Parkway vs North Leigh
1:1
Feb 21, 2023 Southern League Premier South
North Leigh vs Plymouth Parkway
1:2
Sep 17, 2022 FA Cup
North Leigh vs Plymouth Parkway
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Plymouth Parkway Compare

Top Goalscorer Williams M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

North Leigh Compare

Top Goalscorer McDonagh C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Plymouth Parkway 84 / 100
North Leigh 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Plymouth Parkway North Leigh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PLY Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.

Plymouth Parkway's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

North Leigh has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Plymouth Parkway has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Plymouth Parkway VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Plymouth Parkway

(Home)
14 Jul
Plymouth Parkway
1 : 0
Torquay
11 Jul
Plymouth Parkway
1 : 4
Plymouth
25 Apr
Gosport Borough
3 : 6
Plymouth Parkway
18 Apr
Plymouth Parkway
2 : 0
Hanwell Town
11 Apr
Plymouth Parkway
3 : 3
Havant & Waterlooville
Page 1 of 7

North Leigh

(Away)
21 Sept
Tavistock
3 : 0
North Leigh
07 Sept
Shaftesbury Town
0 : 1
North Leigh
09 Sept
Kidlington
2 : 0
North Leigh
25 Jul
North Leigh
1 : 4
Hungerford
22 Apr
North Leigh
1 : 2
Truro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Weston-super-Mare42289589:3293
2Bracknell Town422868100:5390
3Truro42278788:4189
4Poole Town422311886:5180
5Chesham422310988:5779
6Swindon Supermarine422381188:6677
7Hayes & Yeading422181380:5871
8Metropolitan Police421871761:5961
9Merthyr Town421861873:6460
10Plymouth Parkway4216101663:6258
11Beaconsfield Town4215121575:7357
12Tiverton4215101762:7755
13Dorchester421662057:7954
14Hanwell Town421482055:6550
15Salisbury421472155:7149
16Winchester City4212121856:7248
17Gosport Borough421452358:7847
18Hendon429112255:8138
19Harrow Borough429102344:8037
20North Leigh42972650:8634
21Yate42972650:9234
22Hartley Wintney42882640:7632
Promotion - Southern League South Division 2022/2023 (Play Offs)