Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Plymouth Parkway vs Yate - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Southern League Premier South
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Plymouth Parkway host Yate in the Southern League Premier South. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Yate have shipped 1.44 goals a game lately, while Plymouth Parkway have conceded 1.44 and scored 2.07. Past meetings favor Plymouth Parkway slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 17, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.13, favoring Plymouth Parkway. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Plymouth Parkway
30%
Draws
28%
Yate
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Plymouth Parkway

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Plymouth Parkway carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Plymouth Parkway's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Plymouth Parkway Clean Sheet 20%
Yate Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Plymouth Parkway Yate
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 17 9
Draws 3 7
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 2.07 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Plymouth Parkway vs Yate
0:0
Mar 14, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Plymouth Parkway vs Yate
1:0
Sep 27, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Yate vs Plymouth Parkway
2:1
Feb 25, 2023 Southern League Premier South
Plymouth Parkway vs Yate
2:1
Oct 11, 2022 Southern League Premier South
Yate vs Plymouth Parkway
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Plymouth Parkway 67 / 100
Yate 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Plymouth Parkway Yate

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Plymouth Parkway Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Plymouth Parkway scored in 89% of their last 27 games.

Yate let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Plymouth Parkway has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Plymouth Parkway VS Yate
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Plymouth Parkway

(Home)
09 Nov
Plymouth Parkway
2 : 1
Berkhamsted Town
03 Nov
Plymouth Parkway
3 : 1
Uxbridge
31 Oct
Hanworth Villa
4 : 2
Plymouth Parkway
27 Oct
Plymouth Parkway
1 : 0
Gloucester City
24 Oct
Basingstoke
2 : 0
Plymouth Parkway
Page 1 of 6

Yate

(Away)
10 Nov
Evesham
0 : 3
Yate
07 Nov
Yate
1 : 1
Gloucester City
31 Oct
Uxbridge
2 : 0
Yate
27 Oct
Yate
0 : 0
Wimborne
20 Oct
Yate
1 : 1
Sholing
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uxbridge 16 11 3 2 33:14 36
2 Poole Town 16 10 2 4 28:17 32
3 Hanworth Villa 16 9 4 3 32:19 31
4 Plymouth Parkway 15 9 2 4 32:19 29
5 Chertsey Town 16 8 5 3 35:25 29
6 Bath City 16 9 2 5 21:15 29
7 Chichester City 17 9 1 7 30:28 28
8 Gosport Borough 16 7 3 6 25:22 24
9 Wimborne 13 6 4 3 22:9 22
10 Taunton Town 14 7 1 6 35:26 22
11 Frome Town 15 5 5 5 24:21 20
12 Berkhamsted Town 14 5 3 6 18:20 18
13 Yate 16 4 6 6 20:28 18
14 Sholing 14 4 5 5 19:21 17
15 Hanwell Town 16 4 5 7 22:26 17
16 Basingstoke 16 4 4 8 25:32 16
17 Chippenham Town 16 4 4 8 18:30 16
18 Evesham 17 5 1 11 21:37 16
19 Gloucester City 14 3 6 5 21:24 15
20 Bracknell Town 17 4 3 10 19:37 15
21 Malvern Town 16 4 2 10 24:41 14
22 Havant & Waterlooville 16 3 3 10 20:33 12
Promotion - National League South 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)