Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Plzen vs Jablonec

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Chance Liga 2025/2026 Doosan Arena, Plzen
Plzen Logo

Plzen

5 - 0
FT
Jablonec Logo

Jablonec

Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Polidar M.
14' Event
Krcik D.
(Penalty)
21' Event
Visinsky D.
Assist: Ladra T.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Chance Liga 2025/2026 game between Plzen and Jablonec finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Plzen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Plzen
20%
Draws
56%
Jablonec
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jablonec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Very High Confidence
  • Jablonec's 1.63 goals per match outpaces what Plzen have produced (1.29).
  • Model gives Jablonec a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Plzen Clean Sheet 14%
Jablonec Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Plzen Jablonec
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 13
Draws 9 4
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.29 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.57 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.57 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Chance Liga
Plzen vs Jablonec
5:0
Nov 23, 2025 Chance Liga
Jablonec vs Plzen
3:3
Jul 26, 2025 Chance Liga
Plzen vs Jablonec
1:1
May 24, 2025 Chance Liga
Plzen vs Jablonec
4:1
Dec 1, 2024 Chance Liga
Plzen vs Jablonec
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Plzen Compare

Top Goalscorer Visinsky D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Krcik D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Jablonec Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Plzen 19 / 100
Jablonec 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Plzen Jablonec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JAB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Attacking prowess: Plzen scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Jablonec conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Solid form: Plzen remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Plzen VS Jablonec
1.29 Goals Scored 1.63
1.57 Goals Conceded 1
86% Over 1.5 63%
29% Over 2.5 50%
29% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Plzen

(Home)
01 Aug
Plzen
1 : 1
Brno
25 Jul
Plzen
1 : 3
Liberec
14 Jul
Plzen
2 : 0
Polissya Zhytomyr
10 Jul
Plzen
3 : 5
Young Boys
07 Jul
Plzen
1 : 1
FC Copenhagen
Page 1 of 6

Jablonec

(Away)
02 Aug
FK Pardubice
0 : 2
Jablonec
30 Jul
Jablonec
2 : 0
Varazdin
26 Jul
Jablonec
2 : 1
Sigma Olomouc
23 Jul
Varazdin
3 : 2
Jablonec
15 Jul
Jablonec
1 : 0
FC Kharkiv
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slavia Prague 35 24 8 3 74:31 80
2 Sparta Prague 35 23 7 5 69:34 76
3 Plzen 35 18 9 8 60:38 63
4 Hradec Kralove 35 16 8 11 50:41 56
5 Jablonec 35 16 7 12 45:47 55
6 Liberec 35 12 10 13 45:39 46
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)